BOLIVAR — Department
46 municipios, ordered by: alphabetical (asc). Aggregate curve for the department.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 998392.07604 / (1 + e^(-0.17661(t - 39.67492))) | 998392.07604 | 0.17661 | 39.67492 | 0.99972 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 591239.93263 / (1 + e^(-0.17733(t - 39.88395))) | 591239.93263 | 0.17733 | 39.88395 | 0.99973 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 391130.84307 / (1 + e^(-0.17575(t - 39.35181))) | 391130.84307 | 0.17575 | 39.35181 | 0.99969 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 11181.70074 / (1 + e^(-0.17610(t - 39.41242))) | 11181.70074 | 0.17610 | 39.41242 | 0.99973 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 3776.02654 / (1 + e^(-0.17785(t - 40.60355))) | 3776.02654 | 0.17785 | 40.60355 | 0.99981 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 1060.96652 / (1 + e^(-0.17425(t - 40.92222))) | 1060.96652 | 0.17425 | 40.92222 | 0.99972 |
| Validos | y(t) = 993555.03964 / (1 + e^(-0.17661(t - 39.67005))) | 993555.03964 | 0.17661 | 39.67005 | 0.99972 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 5350.37158 / (1 + e^(-0.16582(t - 38.42811))) | 5350.37158 | 0.16582 | 38.42811 | 0.99979 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 89 | 57 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 89 | 5 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.1% | 1,213 | 690 | 499 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 1,211 | 38 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.7% | 6,892 | 3,679 | 3,088 | 95 | 26 | 4 | 6,862 | 120 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 3.9% | 39,469 | 22,359 | 16,448 | 505 | 128 | 29 | 39,312 | 398 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 12.9% | 129,201 | 73,523 | 53,621 | 1,547 | 399 | 111 | 128,691 | 957 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 28.5% | 285,101 | 163,007 | 117,592 | 3,307 | 937 | 258 | 283,906 | 1,816 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 46.6% | 466,136 | 270,798 | 187,960 | 5,307 | 1,628 | 443 | 464,065 | 2,743 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 68.1% | 680,890 | 399,207 | 270,841 | 7,732 | 2,435 | 675 | 677,780 | 3,827 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 84.0% | 839,782 | 494,849 | 331,493 | 9,492 | 3,095 | 853 | 835,834 | 4,590 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 92.0% | 919,047 | 543,636 | 360,688 | 10,334 | 3,437 | 952 | 914,658 | 4,968 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 95.8% | 957,052 | 566,275 | 375,429 | 10,732 | 3,610 | 1,006 | 952,436 | 5,148 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 97.5% | 974,445 | 576,312 | 382,500 | 10,925 | 3,677 | 1,031 | 969,737 | 5,232 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 98.3% | 982,284 | 581,025 | 385,485 | 11,014 | 3,715 | 1,045 | 977,524 | 5,270 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 98.9% | 988,393 | 584,490 | 388,020 | 11,084 | 3,749 | 1,050 | 983,594 | 5,302 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 99.3% | 992,798 | 587,229 | 389,632 | 11,118 | 3,764 | 1,055 | 987,979 | 5,323 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 99.6% | 995,404 | 589,142 | 390,275 | 11,165 | 3,767 | 1,055 | 990,582 | 5,335 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 99.9% | 998,587 | 591,312 | 391,248 | 11,189 | 3,776 | 1,062 | 993,749 | 5,351 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 998,965 | 591,554 | 391,383 | 11,189 | 3,777 | 1,062 | 994,126 | 5,352 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 999,167 | 591,692 | 391,445 | 11,190 | 3,778 | 1,062 | 994,327 | 5,353 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 999,167 | 591,692 | 391,445 | 11,190 | 3,778 | 1,062 | 994,327 | 5,353 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 999,360 | 591,870 | 391,458 | 11,191 | 3,779 | 1,062 | 994,519 | 5,354 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex