MAGANGUE (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05028. 315 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 55126.54440 / (1 + e^(-0.17416(t - 41.62761))) | 55126.54440 | 0.17416 | 41.62761 | 0.99963 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 34351.01931 / (1 + e^(-0.17983(t - 41.56186))) | 34351.01931 | 0.17983 | 41.56186 | 0.99966 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 20015.49037 / (1 + e^(-0.16524(t - 41.74569))) | 20015.49037 | 0.16524 | 41.74569 | 0.99958 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 450.76547 / (1 + e^(-0.16336(t - 41.60482))) | 450.76547 | 0.16336 | 41.60482 | 0.99958 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 236.54468 / (1 + e^(-0.19513(t - 41.74036))) | 236.54468 | 0.19513 | 41.74036 | 0.99936 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 73.59228 / (1 + e^(-0.12969(t - 42.80805))) | 73.59228 | 0.12969 | 42.80805 | 0.99480 |
| Validos | y(t) = 54816.51886 / (1 + e^(-0.17414(t - 41.62601))) | 54816.51886 | 0.17414 | 41.62601 | 0.99964 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 314.76505 / (1 + e^(-0.15753(t - 39.86315))) | 314.76505 | 0.15753 | 39.86315 | 0.99976 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.8% | 420 | 209 | 206 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 418 | 11 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 3.1% | 1,727 | 987 | 713 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 1,715 | 24 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 8.7% | 4,803 | 2,872 | 1,854 | 50 | 19 | 8 | 4,776 | 51 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 21.8% | 12,010 | 7,306 | 4,538 | 114 | 37 | 15 | 11,958 | 91 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 38.5% | 21,268 | 13,180 | 7,796 | 172 | 89 | 31 | 21,148 | 141 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 60.8% | 33,558 | 21,111 | 11,992 | 266 | 146 | 43 | 33,369 | 209 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 78.9% | 43,564 | 27,399 | 15,566 | 354 | 194 | 51 | 43,319 | 258 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 88.9% | 49,110 | 30,916 | 17,524 | 397 | 213 | 60 | 48,837 | 285 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 93.5% | 51,623 | 32,350 | 18,565 | 422 | 221 | 65 | 51,337 | 297 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 95.8% | 52,882 | 33,088 | 19,066 | 434 | 228 | 66 | 52,588 | 304 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 97.1% | 53,627 | 33,437 | 19,453 | 442 | 229 | 66 | 53,332 | 308 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 98.6% | 54,426 | 33,940 | 19,739 | 447 | 234 | 66 | 54,126 | 312 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 98.9% | 54,629 | 34,031 | 19,843 | 450 | 236 | 69 | 54,324 | 313 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 98.9% | 54,629 | 34,031 | 19,843 | 450 | 236 | 69 | 54,324 | 313 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 99.3% | 54,840 | 34,166 | 19,913 | 451 | 236 | 74 | 54,530 | 314 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 55,218 | 34,408 | 20,048 | 451 | 237 | 74 | 54,907 | 315 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex