MARGARITA (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05037. 35 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 5097.55215 / (1 + e^(-0.14231(t - 39.19130))) | 5097.55215 | 0.14231 | 39.19130 | 0.99668 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1597.81894 / (1 + e^(-0.13706(t - 39.68100))) | 1597.81894 | 0.13706 | 39.68100 | 0.99435 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3457.84295 / (1 + e^(-0.14431(t - 38.97327))) | 3457.84295 | 0.14431 | 38.97327 | 0.99722 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 28.03510 / (1 + e^(-0.18461(t - 37.15333))) | 28.03510 | 0.18461 | 37.15333 | 0.99614 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 8.92124 / (1 + e^(-0.39209(t - 44.41368))) | 8.92124 | 0.39209 | 44.41368 | 0.99230 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 5.00133 / (1 + e^(-0.26133(t - 37.16546))) | 5.00133 | 0.26133 | 37.16546 | 0.99534 |
| Validos | y(t) = 5083.59778 / (1 + e^(-0.14216(t - 39.18093))) | 5083.59778 | 0.14216 | 39.18093 | 0.99667 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 34.92991 / (1 + e^(-0.13746(t - 36.54943))) | 34.92991 | 0.13746 | 36.54943 | 0.99715 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.9% | 147 | 41 | 106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 147 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 5.4% | 275 | 97 | 176 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 275 | 4 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 21.6% | 1,106 | 361 | 737 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1,106 | 11 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 35.2% | 1,800 | 569 | 1,220 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1,798 | 15 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 47.4% | 2,425 | 663 | 1,743 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 2,421 | 20 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 64.9% | 3,316 | 1,033 | 2,253 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 3,308 | 25 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 85.9% | 4,391 | 1,375 | 2,976 | 27 | 8 | 5 | 4,378 | 31 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 85.9% | 4,391 | 1,375 | 2,976 | 27 | 8 | 5 | 4,378 | 31 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 92.6% | 4,734 | 1,457 | 3,236 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 4,721 | 33 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 92.6% | 4,734 | 1,457 | 3,236 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 4,721 | 33 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 92.6% | 4,734 | 1,457 | 3,236 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 4,721 | 33 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 94.8% | 4,845 | 1,473 | 3,331 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 4,832 | 34 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 5,111 | 1,603 | 3,466 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 5,097 | 35 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex