EL CARMEN DE BOLIVAR (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05022. 190 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 33019.83884 / (1 + e^(-0.18684(t - 38.72404))) | 33019.83884 | 0.18684 | 38.72404 | 0.99946 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 13047.77105 / (1 + e^(-0.18367(t - 38.55120))) | 13047.77105 | 0.18367 | 38.55120 | 0.99943 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 19371.66111 / (1 + e^(-0.18914(t - 38.83181))) | 19371.66111 | 0.18914 | 38.83181 | 0.99947 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 352.28023 / (1 + e^(-0.18560(t - 38.45847))) | 352.28023 | 0.18560 | 38.45847 | 0.99912 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 204.07186 / (1 + e^(-0.18036(t - 39.43190))) | 204.07186 | 0.18036 | 39.43190 | 0.99954 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 44.04020 / (1 + e^(-0.19408(t - 40.61668))) | 44.04020 | 0.19408 | 40.61668 | 0.99807 |
| Validos | y(t) = 32771.73022 / (1 + e^(-0.18688(t - 38.71716))) | 32771.73022 | 0.18688 | 38.71716 | 0.99946 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 190.06141 / (1 + e^(-0.17522(t - 37.49306))) | 190.06141 | 0.17522 | 37.49306 | 0.99938 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.1% | 34 | 16 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.9% | 296 | 133 | 154 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 294 | 5 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 3.8% | 1,254 | 530 | 697 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 1,245 | 14 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 15.6% | 5,134 | 2,221 | 2,819 | 60 | 31 | 3 | 5,100 | 39 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 31.9% | 10,546 | 4,241 | 6,115 | 117 | 60 | 13 | 10,473 | 71 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 48.9% | 16,132 | 6,457 | 9,393 | 171 | 94 | 17 | 16,021 | 101 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 71.8% | 23,716 | 9,455 | 13,837 | 256 | 140 | 28 | 23,548 | 143 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 88.5% | 29,222 | 11,509 | 17,186 | 316 | 174 | 37 | 29,011 | 171 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 96.4% | 31,837 | 12,579 | 18,675 | 345 | 195 | 43 | 31,599 | 184 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 97.7% | 32,250 | 12,737 | 18,925 | 347 | 198 | 43 | 32,009 | 186 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 99.1% | 32,702 | 12,903 | 19,201 | 351 | 203 | 44 | 32,455 | 188 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 99.6% | 32,876 | 12,987 | 19,291 | 351 | 203 | 44 | 32,629 | 189 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 99.6% | 32,876 | 12,987 | 19,291 | 351 | 203 | 44 | 32,629 | 189 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 33,012 | 13,045 | 19,367 | 352 | 204 | 44 | 32,764 | 190 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex