HATILLO DE LOBA (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05026. 39 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 6329.83770 / (1 + e^(-0.14518(t - 41.95234))) | 6329.83770 | 0.14518 | 41.95234 | 0.99720 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1990.93813 / (1 + e^(-0.14960(t - 41.05159))) | 1990.93813 | 0.14960 | 41.05159 | 0.99683 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 4279.92755 / (1 + e^(-0.14423(t - 42.38790))) | 4279.92755 | 0.14423 | 42.38790 | 0.99730 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 24.93607 / (1 + e^(-0.14995(t - 39.12798))) | 24.93607 | 0.14995 | 39.12798 | 0.99202 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 25.91146 / (1 + e^(-0.13150(t - 38.87574))) | 25.91146 | 0.13150 | 38.87574 | 0.98266 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 8.02740 / (1 + e^(-0.12758(t - 55.61639))) | 8.02740 | 0.12758 | 55.61639 | 0.98767 |
| Validos | y(t) = 6295.87445 / (1 + e^(-0.14549(t - 41.94990))) | 6295.87445 | 0.14549 | 41.94990 | 0.99719 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 38.97975 / (1 + e^(-0.12234(t - 41.23012))) | 38.97975 | 0.12234 | 41.23012 | 0.99698 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.8% | 114 | 60 | 52 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 114 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 8.9% | 567 | 182 | 382 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 567 | 5 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 13.5% | 855 | 264 | 583 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 852 | 7 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 21.7% | 1,373 | 478 | 875 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 1,360 | 11 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 34.3% | 2,172 | 746 | 1,400 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 2,156 | 15 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 65.8% | 4,168 | 1,395 | 2,732 | 20 | 19 | 2 | 4,147 | 26 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 75.5% | 4,786 | 1,555 | 3,188 | 21 | 20 | 2 | 4,764 | 29 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 81.4% | 5,155 | 1,657 | 3,452 | 22 | 20 | 4 | 5,131 | 31 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 87.4% | 5,537 | 1,768 | 3,722 | 22 | 21 | 4 | 5,512 | 33 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 93.9% | 5,948 | 1,867 | 4,030 | 23 | 23 | 5 | 5,920 | 36 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 96.7% | 6,127 | 1,911 | 4,159 | 23 | 26 | 8 | 6,093 | 37 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 6,336 | 1,994 | 4,283 | 25 | 26 | 8 | 6,302 | 39 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex