CALAMAR (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05013. 62 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 10669.27188 / (1 + e^(-0.18434(t - 37.31171))) | 10669.27188 | 0.18434 | 37.31171 | 0.99950 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4617.98279 / (1 + e^(-0.19133(t - 36.69504))) | 4617.98279 | 0.19133 | 36.69504 | 0.99948 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 5843.84253 / (1 + e^(-0.17890(t - 37.81776))) | 5843.84253 | 0.17890 | 37.81776 | 0.99941 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 109.98203 / (1 + e^(-0.19072(t - 37.25887))) | 109.98203 | 0.19072 | 37.25887 | 0.99934 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 70.91990 / (1 + e^(-0.18926(t - 37.27287))) | 70.91990 | 0.18926 | 37.27287 | 0.99820 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 26.95191 / (1 + e^(-0.22016(t - 38.42636))) | 26.95191 | 0.22016 | 38.42636 | 0.99408 |
| Validos | y(t) = 10571.38818 / (1 + e^(-0.18425(t - 37.30891))) | 10571.38818 | 0.18425 | 37.30891 | 0.99950 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 61.99366 / (1 + e^(-0.17789(t - 36.64120))) | 61.99366 | 0.17789 | 36.64120 | 0.99972 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.2% | 18 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.4% | 47 | 23 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 8.1% | 861 | 416 | 430 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 855 | 7 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 16.3% | 1,741 | 819 | 894 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 1,729 | 12 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 37.2% | 3,971 | 1,815 | 2,078 | 42 | 28 | 8 | 3,935 | 24 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 57.2% | 6,107 | 2,726 | 3,264 | 62 | 43 | 12 | 6,052 | 37 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 78.7% | 8,398 | 3,804 | 4,429 | 88 | 53 | 24 | 8,321 | 50 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 87.7% | 9,362 | 4,134 | 5,043 | 97 | 64 | 24 | 9,274 | 55 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 94.1% | 10,044 | 4,400 | 5,448 | 106 | 66 | 24 | 9,954 | 59 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 96.5% | 10,298 | 4,534 | 5,565 | 107 | 67 | 25 | 10,206 | 60 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 10,674 | 4,619 | 5,847 | 110 | 71 | 27 | 10,576 | 62 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex