NOROSI (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05050. 21 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 2731.79338 / (1 + e^(-0.13313(t - 39.42391))) | 2731.79338 | 0.13313 | 39.42391 | 0.99481 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1786.37285 / (1 + e^(-0.12009(t - 40.15703))) | 1786.37285 | 0.12009 | 40.15703 | 0.99373 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 899.32753 / (1 + e^(-0.16733(t - 38.20242))) | 899.32753 | 0.16733 | 38.20242 | 0.99673 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 31.94801 / (1 + e^(-0.12628(t - 39.86970))) | 31.94801 | 0.12628 | 39.86970 | 0.99374 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 11.93411 / (1 + e^(-0.15988(t - 41.80317))) | 11.93411 | 0.15988 | 41.80317 | 0.97690 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 3.00800 / (1 + e^(-0.17892(t - 39.06895))) | 3.00800 | 0.17892 | 39.06895 | 0.98268 |
| Validos | y(t) = 2716.84823 / (1 + e^(-0.13300(t - 39.41197))) | 2716.84823 | 0.13300 | 39.41197 | 0.99481 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 20.95147 / (1 + e^(-0.14969(t - 36.12677))) | 20.95147 | 0.14969 | 36.12677 | 0.99470 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 6.9% | 189 | 155 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 189 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 20.4% | 557 | 394 | 155 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 556 | 6 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 35.5% | 970 | 617 | 341 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 968 | 10 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 47.5% | 1,300 | 827 | 451 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 1,293 | 12 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 72.4% | 1,982 | 1,254 | 694 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 1,971 | 17 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 79.1% | 2,164 | 1,352 | 775 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 2,152 | 18 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 79.1% | 2,164 | 1,352 | 775 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 2,152 | 18 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 85.7% | 2,344 | 1,470 | 835 | 27 | 9 | 3 | 2,332 | 19 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 92.5% | 2,531 | 1,631 | 859 | 28 | 10 | 3 | 2,518 | 20 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 2,736 | 1,788 | 901 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2,721 | 21 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex