ARROYO HONDO (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05009. 33 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4911.13419 / (1 + e^(-0.25734(t - 30.40194))) | 4911.13419 | 0.25734 | 30.40194 | 0.99926 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1323.38804 / (1 + e^(-0.25265(t - 29.93200))) | 1323.38804 | 0.25265 | 29.93200 | 0.99923 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3521.82519 / (1 + e^(-0.25844(t - 30.55980))) | 3521.82519 | 0.25844 | 30.55980 | 0.99920 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 40.98844 / (1 + e^(-0.32710(t - 30.55234))) | 40.98844 | 0.32710 | 30.55234 | 0.99813 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 17.90958 / (1 + e^(-0.36929(t - 31.85496))) | 17.90958 | 0.36929 | 31.85496 | 0.98890 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 7.00701 / (1 + e^(-0.20487(t - 32.15416))) | 7.00701 | 0.20487 | 32.15416 | 0.99413 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4886.19751 / (1 + e^(-0.25726(t - 30.39227))) | 4886.19751 | 0.25726 | 30.39227 | 0.99926 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 32.98668 / (1 + e^(-0.24882(t - 29.26976))) | 32.98668 | 0.24882 | 29.26976 | 0.99918 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 3.0% | 147 | 51 | 94 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 147 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 17.5% | 861 | 281 | 574 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 860 | 8 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 39.7% | 1,950 | 553 | 1,376 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 1,943 | 15 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 74.2% | 3,646 | 1,003 | 2,592 | 33 | 14 | 4 | 3,628 | 26 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 87.7% | 4,309 | 1,186 | 3,068 | 36 | 14 | 5 | 4,290 | 30 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 96.0% | 4,718 | 1,281 | 3,373 | 41 | 16 | 7 | 4,695 | 32 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 96.0% | 4,718 | 1,281 | 3,373 | 41 | 16 | 7 | 4,695 | 32 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,915 | 1,324 | 3,525 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4,890 | 33 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex