SOPLAVIENTO (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05106. 26 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 5944.79879 / (1 + e^(-0.17216(t - 40.69359))) | 5944.79879 | 0.17216 | 40.69359 | 0.99163 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4582.48336 / (1 + e^(-0.17206(t - 40.68471))) | 4582.48336 | 0.17206 | 40.68471 | 0.99176 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1300.26386 / (1 + e^(-0.17520(t - 40.80022))) | 1300.26386 | 0.17520 | 40.80022 | 0.99110 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 36.07145 / (1 + e^(-0.17175(t - 39.38972))) | 36.07145 | 0.17175 | 39.38972 | 0.98517 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 15.91643 / (1 + e^(-0.28032(t - 29.20519))) | 15.91643 | 0.28032 | 29.20519 | 0.96924 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 10.03012 / (1 + e^(-0.18513(t - 56.13327))) | 10.03012 | 0.18513 | 56.13327 | 0.98553 |
| Validos | y(t) = 5918.82241 / (1 + e^(-0.17271(t - 40.70202))) | 5918.82241 | 0.17271 | 40.70202 | 0.99160 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 26.04560 / (1 + e^(-0.15859(t - 39.67873))) | 26.04560 | 0.15859 | 39.67873 | 0.99211 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 1.1% | 68 | 55 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 68 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.1% | 68 | 55 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 68 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 5.5% | 324 | 252 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 324 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 12.5% | 739 | 566 | 158 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 728 | 4 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 34.5% | 2,050 | 1,576 | 445 | 16 | 12 | 1 | 2,037 | 10 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 38.3% | 2,274 | 1,762 | 482 | 17 | 12 | 1 | 2,261 | 11 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 50.4% | 2,990 | 2,308 | 650 | 18 | 13 | 1 | 2,976 | 14 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 92.5% | 5,492 | 4,230 | 1,209 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 5,473 | 24 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 96.0% | 5,700 | 4,392 | 1,252 | 36 | 16 | 4 | 5,680 | 25 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 96.0% | 5,700 | 4,392 | 1,252 | 36 | 16 | 4 | 5,680 | 25 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 5,935 | 4,575 | 1,298 | 36 | 16 | 10 | 5,909 | 26 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex