ARJONA (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05007. 171 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 33540.37882 / (1 + e^(-0.21390(t - 41.48620))) | 33540.37882 | 0.21390 | 41.48620 | 0.99978 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 23539.70176 / (1 + e^(-0.21079(t - 41.48517))) | 23539.70176 | 0.21079 | 41.48517 | 0.99977 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 9361.11945 / (1 + e^(-0.22195(t - 41.46665))) | 9361.11945 | 0.22195 | 41.46665 | 0.99978 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 396.74967 / (1 + e^(-0.21238(t - 41.61745))) | 396.74967 | 0.21238 | 41.61745 | 0.99960 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 195.78549 / (1 + e^(-0.23031(t - 42.13357))) | 195.78549 | 0.23031 | 42.13357 | 0.99933 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 47.01137 / (1 + e^(-0.19489(t - 41.40593))) | 47.01137 | 0.19489 | 41.40593 | 0.99893 |
| Validos | y(t) = 33297.56281 / (1 + e^(-0.21385(t - 41.48233))) | 33297.56281 | 0.21385 | 41.48233 | 0.99978 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 170.99071 / (1 + e^(-0.19756(t - 40.80001))) | 170.99071 | 0.19756 | 40.80001 | 0.99964 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.1% | 47 | 41 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 2.0% | 655 | 512 | 132 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 649 | 8 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 8.5% | 2,845 | 2,135 | 664 | 26 | 16 | 4 | 2,825 | 20 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 16.1% | 5,389 | 3,832 | 1,454 | 70 | 25 | 8 | 5,356 | 34 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 36.6% | 12,279 | 8,658 | 3,401 | 141 | 59 | 20 | 12,200 | 68 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 62.8% | 21,084 | 14,731 | 5,959 | 245 | 122 | 27 | 20,935 | 111 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 85.1% | 28,540 | 19,949 | 8,045 | 340 | 166 | 40 | 28,334 | 147 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 92.5% | 31,033 | 21,796 | 8,654 | 362 | 178 | 43 | 30,812 | 159 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 95.9% | 32,168 | 22,582 | 8,975 | 377 | 189 | 45 | 31,934 | 164 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 99.5% | 33,375 | 23,421 | 9,320 | 394 | 193 | 47 | 33,135 | 170 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 99.5% | 33,375 | 23,421 | 9,320 | 394 | 193 | 47 | 33,135 | 170 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 99.5% | 33,375 | 23,421 | 9,320 | 394 | 193 | 47 | 33,135 | 170 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 33,552 | 23,546 | 9,366 | 397 | 196 | 47 | 33,309 | 171 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex