MARIA LA BAJA (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05040. 138 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 21241.65863 / (1 + e^(-0.16597(t - 40.42732))) | 21241.65863 | 0.16597 | 40.42732 | 0.99931 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 14746.47859 / (1 + e^(-0.16298(t - 40.85967))) | 14746.47859 | 0.16298 | 40.85967 | 0.99926 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 6179.48813 / (1 + e^(-0.17529(t - 39.42061))) | 6179.48813 | 0.17529 | 39.42061 | 0.99934 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 188.67066 / (1 + e^(-0.15125(t - 39.74158))) | 188.67066 | 0.15125 | 39.74158 | 0.99869 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 96.06625 / (1 + e^(-0.12372(t - 43.33180))) | 96.06625 | 0.12372 | 43.33180 | 0.99909 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 31.98627 / (1 + e^(-0.15897(t - 40.89391))) | 31.98627 | 0.15897 | 40.89391 | 0.99718 |
| Validos | y(t) = 21113.69547 / (1 + e^(-0.16627(t - 40.41530))) | 21113.69547 | 0.16627 | 40.41530 | 0.99931 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 137.92879 / (1 + e^(-0.16024(t - 38.50739))) | 137.92879 | 0.16024 | 38.50739 | 0.99951 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.2% | 44 | 32 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 43 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 3.3% | 711 | 483 | 209 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 704 | 11 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 13.7% | 2,922 | 1,869 | 1,001 | 32 | 17 | 3 | 2,902 | 27 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 26.6% | 5,655 | 3,772 | 1,794 | 55 | 24 | 10 | 5,621 | 47 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 43.1% | 9,156 | 6,157 | 2,856 | 93 | 35 | 15 | 9,106 | 69 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 66.0% | 14,044 | 9,510 | 4,341 | 125 | 50 | 18 | 13,976 | 99 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 81.5% | 17,341 | 11,816 | 5,281 | 154 | 65 | 25 | 17,251 | 117 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 88.3% | 18,769 | 12,872 | 5,628 | 165 | 75 | 29 | 18,665 | 126 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 92.8% | 19,743 | 13,585 | 5,876 | 171 | 81 | 30 | 19,632 | 131 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 96.5% | 20,526 | 14,173 | 6,053 | 179 | 90 | 31 | 20,405 | 135 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 97.6% | 20,748 | 14,346 | 6,096 | 181 | 94 | 31 | 20,623 | 136 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 98.7% | 20,992 | 14,538 | 6,140 | 187 | 95 | 32 | 20,865 | 137 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 21,267 | 14,766 | 6,184 | 189 | 96 | 32 | 21,139 | 138 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex