CICUCO (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05015. 36 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 6216.52690 / (1 + e^(-0.20523(t - 41.45858))) | 6216.52690 | 0.20523 | 41.45858 | 0.99835 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 3634.72230 / (1 + e^(-0.20695(t - 41.35022))) | 3634.72230 | 0.20695 | 41.35022 | 0.99831 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2515.71526 / (1 + e^(-0.20303(t - 41.60319))) | 2515.71526 | 0.20303 | 41.60319 | 0.99835 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 35.03554 / (1 + e^(-0.19867(t - 42.41936))) | 35.03554 | 0.19867 | 42.41936 | 0.99816 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 23.04130 / (1 + e^(-0.19684(t - 40.65977))) | 23.04130 | 0.19684 | 40.65977 | 0.99391 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 8.01261 / (1 + e^(-0.22852(t - 43.59375))) | 8.01261 | 0.22852 | 43.59375 | 0.99716 |
| Validos | y(t) = 6185.47022 / (1 + e^(-0.20525(t - 41.45864))) | 6185.47022 | 0.20525 | 41.45864 | 0.99836 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 36.05147 / (1 + e^(-0.17658(t - 39.85986))) | 36.05147 | 0.17658 | 39.85986 | 0.99779 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.2% | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.2% | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 4.7% | 290 | 183 | 102 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 288 | 4 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 6.8% | 420 | 243 | 171 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 417 | 5 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 18.3% | 1,134 | 645 | 479 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1,128 | 9 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 41.3% | 2,564 | 1,531 | 1,007 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 2,551 | 17 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 55.5% | 3,445 | 2,039 | 1,371 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3,429 | 22 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 86.8% | 5,389 | 3,161 | 2,173 | 28 | 21 | 6 | 5,362 | 32 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 94.6% | 5,873 | 3,451 | 2,359 | 32 | 23 | 8 | 5,842 | 34 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 6,210 | 3,631 | 2,513 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 6,179 | 36 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex