SAN MARTIN DE LOBA (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05082. 40 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 6829.60151 / (1 + e^(-0.14724(t - 39.67664))) | 6829.60151 | 0.14724 | 39.67664 | 0.99881 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 3315.73322 / (1 + e^(-0.14769(t - 40.10772))) | 3315.73322 | 0.14769 | 40.10772 | 0.99903 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3445.84807 / (1 + e^(-0.14676(t - 39.24903))) | 3445.84807 | 0.14676 | 39.24903 | 0.99852 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 32.99984 / (1 + e^(-0.17996(t - 37.39055))) | 32.99984 | 0.17996 | 37.39055 | 0.99813 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 26.99051 / (1 + e^(-0.18496(t - 41.82076))) | 26.99051 | 0.18496 | 41.82076 | 0.99805 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 8.00122 / (1 + e^(-0.13221(t - 46.91834))) | 8.00122 | 0.13221 | 46.91834 | 0.98821 |
| Validos | y(t) = 6794.61757 / (1 + e^(-0.14716(t - 39.65909))) | 6794.61757 | 0.14716 | 39.65909 | 0.99880 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 39.99421 / (1 + e^(-0.14953(t - 38.50953))) | 39.99421 | 0.14953 | 38.50953 | 0.99917 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.4% | 165 | 62 | 101 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 165 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 5.1% | 348 | 171 | 174 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 348 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 15.5% | 1,060 | 491 | 563 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1,059 | 7 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 34.7% | 2,368 | 1,085 | 1,263 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 2,361 | 15 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 49.1% | 3,355 | 1,570 | 1,756 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 3,343 | 21 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 65.4% | 4,464 | 2,125 | 2,291 | 27 | 17 | 4 | 4,443 | 28 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 76.3% | 5,213 | 2,506 | 2,652 | 29 | 21 | 5 | 5,187 | 32 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 88.3% | 6,032 | 2,911 | 3,061 | 31 | 24 | 5 | 6,003 | 36 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 94.5% | 6,453 | 3,135 | 3,254 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 6,421 | 38 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 97.5% | 6,660 | 3,233 | 3,361 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 6,627 | 39 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 6,829 | 3,315 | 3,446 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 6,794 | 40 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex