ARENAL (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05005. 24 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3803.04449 / (1 + e^(-0.24670(t - 40.96128))) | 3803.04449 | 0.24670 | 40.96128 | 0.99704 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2290.02864 / (1 + e^(-0.22742(t - 40.57819))) | 2290.02864 | 0.22742 | 40.57819 | 0.99721 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1437.91151 / (1 + e^(-0.28876(t - 41.48776))) | 1437.91151 | 0.28876 | 41.48776 | 0.99691 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 40.99531 / (1 + e^(-0.23026(t - 40.31687))) | 40.99531 | 0.23026 | 40.31687 | 0.99851 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 25.91099 / (1 + e^(-0.35454(t - 42.10399))) | 25.91099 | 0.35454 | 42.10399 | 0.99475 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 7.97230 / (1 + e^(-0.20211(t - 41.04922))) | 7.97230 | 0.20211 | 41.04922 | 0.98895 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3769.14960 / (1 + e^(-0.24640(t - 40.95230))) | 3769.14960 | 0.24640 | 40.95230 | 0.99707 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 23.99648 / (1 + e^(-0.20653(t - 40.02884))) | 23.99648 | 0.20653 | 40.02884 | 0.99755 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 5.5% | 209 | 142 | 62 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 207 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 9.9% | 376 | 258 | 110 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 373 | 3 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 18.5% | 706 | 485 | 209 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 701 | 6 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 30.5% | 1,160 | 762 | 375 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 1,153 | 9 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 72.0% | 2,740 | 1,653 | 1,033 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 2,716 | 17 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 90.5% | 3,448 | 2,079 | 1,302 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 3,417 | 22 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 94.6% | 3,603 | 2,177 | 1,355 | 40 | 24 | 7 | 3,572 | 23 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 94.6% | 3,603 | 2,177 | 1,355 | 40 | 24 | 7 | 3,572 | 23 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 94.6% | 3,603 | 2,177 | 1,355 | 40 | 24 | 7 | 3,572 | 23 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,808 | 2,292 | 1,441 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 3,774 | 24 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex