ZAMBRANO (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05127. 29 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 6026.77701 / (1 + e^(-0.21408(t - 30.44320))) | 6026.77701 | 0.21408 | 30.44320 | 0.99710 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4612.00421 / (1 + e^(-0.21638(t - 30.40859))) | 4612.00421 | 0.21638 | 30.40859 | 0.99725 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1355.77084 / (1 + e^(-0.20657(t - 30.57470))) | 1355.77084 | 0.20657 | 30.57470 | 0.99654 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 29.01339 / (1 + e^(-0.21495(t - 30.74911))) | 29.01339 | 0.21495 | 30.74911 | 0.99417 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 21.97098 / (1 + e^(-0.29147(t - 27.04602))) | 21.97098 | 0.29147 | 27.04602 | 0.99554 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 8.01299 / (1 + e^(-0.27434(t - 36.99415))) | 8.01299 | 0.27434 | 36.99415 | 0.99264 |
| Validos | y(t) = 5996.77654 / (1 + e^(-0.21407(t - 30.44700))) | 5996.77654 | 0.21407 | 30.44700 | 0.99711 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 29.00163 / (1 + e^(-0.22304(t - 29.42928))) | 29.00163 | 0.22304 | 29.42928 | 0.99725 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.8% | 166 | 117 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 166 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 21.6% | 1,300 | 995 | 294 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1,293 | 7 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 45.7% | 2,755 | 2,102 | 622 | 15 | 15 | 1 | 2,739 | 15 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 68.0% | 4,098 | 3,153 | 906 | 18 | 18 | 3 | 4,077 | 21 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 79.2% | 4,768 | 3,676 | 1,045 | 23 | 20 | 4 | 4,744 | 24 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 6,024 | 4,610 | 1,355 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 5,994 | 29 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex