SAN PABLO (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05084. 65 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 11680.02420 / (1 + e^(-0.20601(t - 42.09984))) | 11680.02420 | 0.20601 | 42.09984 | 0.99838 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 6635.10831 / (1 + e^(-0.20140(t - 42.45400))) | 6635.10831 | 0.20140 | 42.45400 | 0.99839 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 4814.49990 / (1 + e^(-0.21122(t - 41.58906))) | 4814.49990 | 0.21122 | 41.58906 | 0.99777 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 129.90728 / (1 + e^(-0.20809(t - 42.75245))) | 129.90728 | 0.20809 | 42.75245 | 0.99890 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 79.03895 / (1 + e^(-0.22781(t - 43.10482))) | 79.03895 | 0.22781 | 43.10482 | 0.99702 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 21.98974 / (1 + e^(-0.19259(t - 43.44386))) | 21.98974 | 0.19259 | 43.44386 | 0.98807 |
| Validos | y(t) = 11578.98508 / (1 + e^(-0.20595(t - 42.09043))) | 11578.98508 | 0.20595 | 42.09043 | 0.99840 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 64.97565 / (1 + e^(-0.17667(t - 41.02559))) | 64.97565 | 0.17667 | 41.02559 | 0.99828 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.2% | 29 | 13 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.4% | 46 | 21 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 9.5% | 1,107 | 608 | 480 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 1,099 | 10 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 19.4% | 2,265 | 1,224 | 999 | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2,245 | 16 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 33.4% | 3,906 | 2,096 | 1,743 | 39 | 22 | 6 | 3,878 | 25 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 54.3% | 6,347 | 3,576 | 2,657 | 69 | 37 | 8 | 6,302 | 38 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 85.3% | 9,967 | 5,523 | 4,252 | 105 | 68 | 19 | 9,880 | 55 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 94.7% | 11,063 | 6,169 | 4,675 | 123 | 75 | 21 | 10,967 | 61 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 97.4% | 11,378 | 6,365 | 4,788 | 126 | 78 | 21 | 11,279 | 63 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 97.4% | 11,378 | 6,365 | 4,788 | 126 | 78 | 21 | 11,279 | 63 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 97.4% | 11,378 | 6,365 | 4,788 | 126 | 78 | 21 | 11,279 | 63 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 97.4% | 11,378 | 6,365 | 4,788 | 126 | 78 | 21 | 11,279 | 63 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 11,685 | 6,645 | 4,809 | 130 | 79 | 22 | 11,584 | 65 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex