MONTECRISTO (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05041. 37 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 4731.96483 / (1 + e^(-0.26597(t - 30.95024))) | 4731.96483 | 0.26597 | 30.95024 | 0.99966 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2557.43161 / (1 + e^(-0.25656(t - 30.30259))) | 2557.43161 | 0.25656 | 30.30259 | 0.99940 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2085.37641 / (1 + e^(-0.28378(t - 31.72418))) | 2085.37641 | 0.28378 | 31.72418 | 0.99981 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 59.99538 / (1 + e^(-0.28049(t - 30.23893))) | 59.99538 | 0.28049 | 30.23893 | 0.99894 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 18.01237 / (1 + e^(-0.22490(t - 33.44114))) | 18.01237 | 0.22490 | 33.44114 | 0.99857 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 10.97770 / (1 + e^(-0.59438(t - 28.32811))) | 10.97770 | 0.59438 | 28.32811 | 0.99398 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4702.97382 / (1 + e^(-0.26603(t - 30.94757))) | 4702.97382 | 0.26603 | 30.94757 | 0.99966 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 37.01347 / (1 + e^(-0.21355(t - 29.38365))) | 37.01347 | 0.21355 | 29.38365 | 0.99958 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 1.8% | 83 | 62 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 2 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.1% | 98 | 73 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 98 | 3 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 12.6% | 595 | 395 | 191 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 593 | 9 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 38.3% | 1,813 | 1,097 | 677 | 27 | 5 | 7 | 1,801 | 18 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 70.1% | 3,319 | 1,883 | 1,373 | 44 | 10 | 9 | 3,300 | 27 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 86.7% | 4,103 | 2,211 | 1,815 | 53 | 13 | 11 | 4,079 | 32 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 97.5% | 4,616 | 2,477 | 2,051 | 60 | 17 | 11 | 4,588 | 36 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,732 | 2,558 | 2,085 | 60 | 18 | 11 | 4,703 | 37 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex