SAN ESTANISLAO (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05070. 48 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 9483.83877 / (1 + e^(-0.34014(t - 33.18574))) | 9483.83877 | 0.34014 | 33.18574 | 0.99997 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4260.26262 / (1 + e^(-0.33534(t - 33.45571))) | 4260.26262 | 0.33534 | 33.45571 | 0.99996 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 5070.51786 / (1 + e^(-0.34436(t - 32.93134))) | 5070.51786 | 0.34436 | 32.93134 | 0.99998 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 99.06344 / (1 + e^(-0.35195(t - 33.75416))) | 99.06344 | 0.35195 | 33.75416 | 0.99921 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 36.00344 / (1 + e^(-0.40324(t - 34.71369))) | 36.00344 | 0.40324 | 34.71369 | 0.99984 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 17.99846 / (1 + e^(-0.55202(t - 34.90633))) | 17.99846 | 0.55202 | 34.90633 | 0.99968 |
| Validos | y(t) = 9429.82051 / (1 + e^(-0.33981(t - 33.17523))) | 9429.82051 | 0.33981 | 33.17523 | 0.99997 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 48.01647 / (1 + e^(-0.33245(t - 33.07568))) | 48.01647 | 0.33245 | 33.07568 | 0.99981 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.3% | 27 | 16 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 4.7% | 441 | 206 | 231 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 441 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 19.6% | 1,856 | 776 | 1,057 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 1,852 | 10 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 56.5% | 5,359 | 2,314 | 2,975 | 48 | 15 | 7 | 5,337 | 27 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 88.4% | 8,384 | 3,709 | 4,539 | 89 | 31 | 16 | 8,337 | 43 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 97.2% | 9,214 | 4,111 | 4,952 | 98 | 35 | 18 | 9,161 | 47 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 9,483 | 4,260 | 5,070 | 99 | 36 | 18 | 9,429 | 48 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex