EL PEÑON (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05027. 24 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3401.78766 / (1 + e^(-0.10609(t - 39.42640))) | 3401.78766 | 0.10609 | 39.42640 | 0.98943 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1576.47724 / (1 + e^(-0.08909(t - 40.72401))) | 1576.47724 | 0.08909 | 40.72401 | 0.98685 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1802.25579 / (1 + e^(-0.12772(t - 38.48033))) | 1802.25579 | 0.12772 | 38.48033 | 0.99168 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 11.01097 / (1 + e^(-0.12834(t - 34.62730))) | 11.01097 | 0.12834 | 34.62730 | 0.99083 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 8.00217 / (1 + e^(-0.07052(t - 42.11558))) | 8.00217 | 0.07052 | 42.11558 | 0.96432 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 5.01083 / (1 + e^(-0.23944(t - 47.19577))) | 5.01083 | 0.23944 | 47.19577 | 0.98781 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3388.77494 / (1 + e^(-0.10618(t - 39.40884))) | 3388.77494 | 0.10618 | 39.40884 | 0.98941 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 23.88132 / (1 + e^(-0.10648(t - 35.83090))) | 23.88132 | 0.10648 | 35.83090 | 0.98757 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 2.3% | 77 | 51 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.3% | 77 | 51 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 9.8% | 334 | 176 | 155 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 333 | 5 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 23.2% | 791 | 406 | 378 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 788 | 8 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 38.6% | 1,318 | 650 | 659 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1,314 | 12 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 57.8% | 1,975 | 909 | 1,052 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1,969 | 16 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 69.3% | 2,366 | 1,006 | 1,345 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2,359 | 18 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 69.3% | 2,366 | 1,006 | 1,345 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2,359 | 18 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 81.9% | 2,796 | 1,229 | 1,546 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 2,786 | 20 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 81.9% | 2,796 | 1,229 | 1,546 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 2,786 | 20 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 85.6% | 2,922 | 1,297 | 1,603 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 2,911 | 21 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 85.6% | 2,922 | 1,297 | 1,603 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 2,911 | 21 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 91.0% | 3,106 | 1,390 | 1,693 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 3,094 | 22 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,415 | 1,580 | 1,811 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3,402 | 24 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex