SAN FERNANDO (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05073. 35 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4796.33867 / (1 + e^(-0.18741(t - 36.58357))) | 4796.33867 | 0.18741 | 36.58357 | 0.99422 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2122.76418 / (1 + e^(-0.17137(t - 36.79936))) | 2122.76418 | 0.17137 | 36.79936 | 0.99320 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2626.95476 / (1 + e^(-0.20528(t - 36.38347))) | 2626.95476 | 0.20528 | 36.38347 | 0.99485 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 23.01247 / (1 + e^(-0.16521(t - 34.99790))) | 23.01247 | 0.16521 | 34.99790 | 0.99635 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 15.00463 / (1 + e^(-0.16036(t - 51.65253))) | 15.00463 | 0.16036 | 51.65253 | 0.99408 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 8.96768 / (1 + e^(-0.10342(t - 42.30799))) | 8.96768 | 0.10342 | 42.30799 | 0.96494 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4772.48961 / (1 + e^(-0.18849(t - 36.54069))) | 4772.48961 | 0.18849 | 36.54069 | 0.99428 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 34.92253 / (1 + e^(-0.17403(t - 34.39332))) | 34.92253 | 0.17403 | 34.39332 | 0.99619 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.4% | 20 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 8.4% | 405 | 158 | 243 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 405 | 6 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 18.1% | 873 | 435 | 431 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 873 | 10 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 32.4% | 1,558 | 700 | 844 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1,554 | 15 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 72.4% | 3,482 | 1,520 | 1,937 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 3,473 | 27 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 78.7% | 3,789 | 1,649 | 2,113 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 3,779 | 29 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 83.9% | 4,037 | 1,715 | 2,290 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 4,027 | 31 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 88.4% | 4,253 | 1,835 | 2,381 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 4,238 | 32 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 96.4% | 4,641 | 2,060 | 2,538 | 23 | 13 | 7 | 4,621 | 34 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 96.4% | 4,641 | 2,060 | 2,538 | 23 | 13 | 7 | 4,621 | 34 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 96.4% | 4,641 | 2,060 | 2,538 | 23 | 13 | 7 | 4,621 | 34 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,812 | 2,129 | 2,636 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 4,788 | 35 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex