SIMITI (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05097. 50 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 7885.15562 / (1 + e^(-0.13739(t - 40.56180))) | 7885.15562 | 0.13739 | 40.56180 | 0.99645 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2819.18032 / (1 + e^(-0.12510(t - 42.00306))) | 2819.18032 | 0.12510 | 42.00306 | 0.99434 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 4927.90503 / (1 + e^(-0.14607(t - 39.70132))) | 4927.90503 | 0.14607 | 39.70132 | 0.99615 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 86.93732 / (1 + e^(-0.12653(t - 42.53031))) | 86.93732 | 0.12653 | 42.53031 | 0.99730 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 43.91201 / (1 + e^(-0.13918(t - 44.74781))) | 43.91201 | 0.13918 | 44.74781 | 0.99827 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 8.01314 / (1 + e^(-0.15793(t - 47.90808))) | 8.01314 | 0.15793 | 47.90808 | 0.99278 |
| Validos | y(t) = 7833.18589 / (1 + e^(-0.13748(t - 40.52978))) | 7833.18589 | 0.13748 | 40.52978 | 0.99643 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 49.86108 / (1 + e^(-0.12032(t - 37.21476))) | 49.86108 | 0.12032 | 37.21476 | 0.99698 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.9% | 69 | 27 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 69 | 3 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 4.4% | 345 | 147 | 193 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 344 | 9 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 12.0% | 947 | 350 | 580 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 943 | 13 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 35.4% | 2,799 | 922 | 1,843 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 2,790 | 23 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 45.9% | 3,633 | 1,159 | 2,423 | 36 | 14 | 1 | 3,618 | 28 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 64.5% | 5,108 | 1,681 | 3,352 | 48 | 23 | 4 | 5,081 | 35 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 74.2% | 5,874 | 1,960 | 3,822 | 61 | 27 | 4 | 5,843 | 39 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 81.2% | 6,429 | 2,246 | 4,078 | 67 | 33 | 5 | 6,391 | 42 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 88.7% | 7,016 | 2,492 | 4,407 | 72 | 38 | 7 | 6,971 | 45 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 97.6% | 7,721 | 2,664 | 4,920 | 86 | 43 | 8 | 7,670 | 49 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 97.6% | 7,721 | 2,664 | 4,920 | 86 | 43 | 8 | 7,670 | 49 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 97.6% | 7,721 | 2,664 | 4,920 | 86 | 43 | 8 | 7,670 | 49 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 97.6% | 7,721 | 2,664 | 4,920 | 86 | 43 | 8 | 7,670 | 49 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 97.6% | 7,721 | 2,664 | 4,920 | 86 | 43 | 8 | 7,670 | 49 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 97.6% | 7,721 | 2,664 | 4,920 | 86 | 43 | 8 | 7,670 | 49 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 97.6% | 7,721 | 2,664 | 4,920 | 86 | 43 | 8 | 7,670 | 49 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 97.6% | 7,721 | 2,664 | 4,920 | 86 | 43 | 8 | 7,670 | 49 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 97.6% | 7,721 | 2,664 | 4,920 | 86 | 43 | 8 | 7,670 | 49 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 7,914 | 2,842 | 4,933 | 87 | 44 | 8 | 7,862 | 50 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex