CARTAGENA (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05001. 2518 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 498210.99010 / (1 + e^(-0.18180(t - 39.77940))) | 498210.99010 | 0.18180 | 39.77940 | 0.99973 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 323775.97158 / (1 + e^(-0.18101(t - 39.98387))) | 323775.97158 | 0.18101 | 39.98387 | 0.99972 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 165922.69952 / (1 + e^(-0.18357(t - 39.37603))) | 165922.69952 | 0.18357 | 39.37603 | 0.99973 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 6572.27734 / (1 + e^(-0.17977(t - 39.68078))) | 6572.27734 | 0.17977 | 39.68078 | 0.99973 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 1613.26393 / (1 + e^(-0.18665(t - 40.68705))) | 1613.26393 | 0.18665 | 40.68705 | 0.99986 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 327.98449 / (1 + e^(-0.18780(t - 40.68620))) | 327.98449 | 0.18780 | 40.68620 | 0.99968 |
| Validos | y(t) = 496269.68073 / (1 + e^(-0.18178(t - 39.77580))) | 496269.68073 | 0.18178 | 39.77580 | 0.99973 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 2515.38917 / (1 + e^(-0.17274(t - 38.69239))) | 2515.38917 | 0.17274 | 38.69239 | 0.99978 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 22 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 1 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.1% | 503 | 311 | 182 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 502 | 15 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.6% | 2,778 | 1,710 | 1,007 | 47 | 11 | 3 | 2,764 | 41 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 3.4% | 16,738 | 10,543 | 5,875 | 261 | 49 | 10 | 16,679 | 153 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 11.9% | 59,108 | 37,120 | 21,013 | 804 | 141 | 30 | 58,937 | 405 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 27.6% | 137,524 | 86,925 | 48,296 | 1,847 | 375 | 81 | 137,068 | 819 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 46.2% | 230,538 | 147,355 | 79,308 | 3,053 | 691 | 131 | 229,716 | 1,265 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 68.1% | 339,742 | 218,244 | 115,695 | 4,533 | 1,051 | 219 | 338,472 | 1,792 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 84.3% | 420,247 | 270,736 | 142,392 | 5,534 | 1,316 | 269 | 418,662 | 2,162 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 92.5% | 461,428 | 299,025 | 154,550 | 6,064 | 1,489 | 300 | 459,639 | 2,352 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 96.1% | 479,096 | 310,875 | 160,038 | 6,304 | 1,559 | 320 | 477,217 | 2,431 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 97.6% | 486,720 | 315,713 | 162,691 | 6,415 | 1,578 | 323 | 484,819 | 2,464 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 98.4% | 490,622 | 318,282 | 163,949 | 6,469 | 1,596 | 326 | 488,700 | 2,482 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 98.9% | 493,183 | 319,992 | 164,745 | 6,509 | 1,609 | 328 | 491,246 | 2,493 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 99.2% | 494,567 | 321,018 | 165,090 | 6,521 | 1,610 | 328 | 492,629 | 2,499 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 99.6% | 496,873 | 322,788 | 165,585 | 6,560 | 1,612 | 328 | 494,933 | 2,509 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 498,693 | 324,123 | 166,049 | 6,579 | 1,614 | 328 | 496,751 | 2,517 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex