MORALES (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05044. 43 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 8245.59362 / (1 + e^(-0.13429(t - 38.71078))) | 8245.59362 | 0.13429 | 38.71078 | 0.99797 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2778.14538 / (1 + e^(-0.15368(t - 37.93996))) | 2778.14538 | 0.15368 | 37.93996 | 0.99767 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 5327.32171 / (1 + e^(-0.12640(t - 39.22344))) | 5327.32171 | 0.12640 | 39.22344 | 0.99757 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 79.90911 / (1 + e^(-0.11818(t - 36.66408))) | 79.90911 | 0.11818 | 36.66408 | 0.99621 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 47.94703 / (1 + e^(-0.17996(t - 39.02181))) | 47.94703 | 0.17996 | 39.02181 | 0.99803 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 13.02324 / (1 + e^(-0.13889(t - 33.35352))) | 13.02324 | 0.13889 | 33.35352 | 0.98309 |
| Validos | y(t) = 8184.61566 / (1 + e^(-0.13412(t - 38.71679))) | 8184.61566 | 0.13412 | 38.71679 | 0.99795 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 43.01428 / (1 + e^(-0.13180(t - 36.79351))) | 43.01428 | 0.13180 | 36.79351 | 0.99762 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 3.6% | 295 | 93 | 195 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 294 | 3 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 12.9% | 1,063 | 369 | 676 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 1,056 | 7 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 26.7% | 2,205 | 716 | 1,446 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 2,190 | 14 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 36.2% | 2,986 | 918 | 2,013 | 37 | 11 | 7 | 2,968 | 18 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 44.7% | 3,684 | 1,331 | 2,275 | 46 | 25 | 7 | 3,652 | 22 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 68.3% | 5,627 | 2,077 | 3,450 | 56 | 34 | 10 | 5,583 | 31 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 82.3% | 6,788 | 2,462 | 4,206 | 64 | 43 | 13 | 6,732 | 37 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 88.2% | 7,273 | 2,536 | 4,614 | 67 | 43 | 13 | 7,217 | 39 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 93.6% | 7,717 | 2,664 | 4,922 | 73 | 45 | 13 | 7,659 | 41 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 97.0% | 7,999 | 2,713 | 5,150 | 76 | 47 | 13 | 7,939 | 42 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 97.0% | 7,999 | 2,713 | 5,150 | 76 | 47 | 13 | 7,939 | 42 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 8,244 | 2,778 | 5,325 | 80 | 48 | 13 | 8,183 | 43 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex