PINILLOS (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05059. 66 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 9351.94256 / (1 + e^(-0.18972(t - 37.83396))) | 9351.94256 | 0.18972 | 37.83396 | 0.99884 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2792.73508 / (1 + e^(-0.23057(t - 36.32279))) | 2792.73508 | 0.23057 | 36.32279 | 0.99809 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 6473.80918 / (1 + e^(-0.17813(t - 38.55664))) | 6473.80918 | 0.17813 | 38.55664 | 0.99917 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 43.99646 / (1 + e^(-0.17270(t - 35.19718))) | 43.99646 | 0.17270 | 35.19718 | 0.99765 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 25.98847 / (1 + e^(-0.22848(t - 36.67939))) | 25.98847 | 0.22848 | 36.67939 | 0.99646 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 15.99753 / (1 + e^(-0.29256(t - 38.52972))) | 15.99753 | 0.29256 | 38.52972 | 0.99961 |
| Validos | y(t) = 9309.96668 / (1 + e^(-0.18951(t - 37.83600))) | 9309.96668 | 0.18951 | 37.83600 | 0.99884 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 65.93691 / (1 + e^(-0.15576(t - 35.50951))) | 65.93691 | 0.15576 | 35.50951 | 0.99930 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.2% | 20 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.3% | 29 | 13 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 2 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.3% | 213 | 40 | 173 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 6 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 2.9% | 269 | 55 | 210 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 8 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 12.1% | 1,132 | 288 | 829 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1,129 | 16 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 37.0% | 3,463 | 1,190 | 2,237 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 3,449 | 31 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 56.1% | 5,252 | 1,804 | 3,393 | 29 | 17 | 9 | 5,226 | 42 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 76.1% | 7,120 | 2,369 | 4,684 | 34 | 20 | 13 | 7,087 | 52 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 86.1% | 8,058 | 2,500 | 5,480 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 8,019 | 58 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 94.3% | 8,826 | 2,717 | 6,024 | 43 | 26 | 16 | 8,784 | 62 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 98.2% | 9,197 | 2,782 | 6,329 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,155 | 64 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 98.2% | 9,197 | 2,782 | 6,329 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,155 | 64 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 98.2% | 9,197 | 2,782 | 6,329 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,155 | 64 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 9,361 | 2,796 | 6,479 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 9,319 | 66 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex