SAN CRISTOBAL (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05072. 24 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4880.46883 / (1 + e^(-0.21264(t - 33.10928))) | 4880.46883 | 0.21264 | 33.10928 | 0.99716 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 3040.68475 / (1 + e^(-0.21016(t - 32.92562))) | 3040.68475 | 0.21016 | 32.92562 | 0.99707 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1787.70142 / (1 + e^(-0.21896(t - 33.48177))) | 1787.70142 | 0.21896 | 33.48177 | 0.99632 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 41.97602 / (1 + e^(-0.21408(t - 30.70012))) | 41.97602 | 0.21408 | 30.70012 | 0.99123 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 5.01027 / (1 + e^(-0.23948(t - 32.19433))) | 5.01027 | 0.23948 | 32.19433 | 0.98192 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 5.00679 / (1 + e^(-0.24548(t - 33.70746))) | 5.00679 | 0.24548 | 33.70746 | 0.98957 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4870.45634 / (1 + e^(-0.21257(t - 33.10986))) | 4870.45634 | 0.21257 | 33.10986 | 0.99717 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 24.01729 / (1 + e^(-0.20061(t - 32.23580))) | 24.01729 | 0.20061 | 32.23580 | 0.99763 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 1.2% | 60 | 29 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.2% | 60 | 29 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 8.5% | 414 | 248 | 162 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 413 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 38.0% | 1,853 | 1,183 | 643 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 1,849 | 10 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 49.9% | 2,436 | 1,614 | 791 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 2,432 | 13 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 77.1% | 3,762 | 2,291 | 1,428 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 3,753 | 19 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 91.7% | 4,470 | 2,777 | 1,645 | 38 | 5 | 5 | 4,460 | 22 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,877 | 3,039 | 1,786 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 4,867 | 24 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex