EL GUAMO (BOLIVAR)
Municipio code 05025. 27 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4606.18087 / (1 + e^(-0.15610(t - 35.28649))) | 4606.18087 | 0.15610 | 35.28649 | 0.99614 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2010.44604 / (1 + e^(-0.16255(t - 34.81710))) | 2010.44604 | 0.16255 | 34.81710 | 0.99706 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2550.10090 / (1 + e^(-0.15039(t - 35.72722))) | 2550.10090 | 0.15039 | 35.72722 | 0.99512 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 28.94016 / (1 + e^(-0.24771(t - 32.02774))) | 28.94016 | 0.24771 | 32.02774 | 0.99535 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 9.96653 / (1 + e^(-0.16733(t - 35.67477))) | 9.96653 | 0.16733 | 35.67477 | 0.99321 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 7.00483 / (1 + e^(-0.14191(t - 33.18740))) | 7.00483 | 0.14191 | 33.18740 | 0.98853 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4589.20399 / (1 + e^(-0.15612(t - 35.28842))) | 4589.20399 | 0.15612 | 35.28842 | 0.99613 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 26.90835 / (1 + e^(-0.15389(t - 33.05069))) | 26.90835 | 0.15389 | 33.05069 | 0.99582 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.8% | 35 | 17 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 13.7% | 633 | 302 | 326 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 629 | 6 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 29.2% | 1,351 | 587 | 747 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1,346 | 10 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 46.8% | 2,163 | 983 | 1,155 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 2,155 | 15 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 63.9% | 2,955 | 1,323 | 1,597 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 2,944 | 19 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 81.9% | 3,784 | 1,692 | 2,050 | 28 | 8 | 6 | 3,770 | 23 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 86.7% | 4,005 | 1,752 | 2,210 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 3,990 | 24 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 91.4% | 4,224 | 1,879 | 2,301 | 28 | 9 | 7 | 4,208 | 25 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 91.4% | 4,224 | 1,879 | 2,301 | 28 | 9 | 7 | 4,208 | 25 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 91.4% | 4,224 | 1,879 | 2,301 | 28 | 9 | 7 | 4,208 | 25 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 95.9% | 4,431 | 1,969 | 2,416 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,414 | 26 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,622 | 2,016 | 2,560 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 4,605 | 27 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex