NORTE DE SANTANDER — Department
40 municipios, ordered by: alphabetical (asc). Aggregate curve for the department.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 792690.42311 / (1 + e^(-0.19947(t - 36.94076))) | 792690.42311 | 0.19947 | 36.94076 | 0.99988 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 173951.01586 / (1 + e^(-0.18979(t - 36.70712))) | 173951.01586 | 0.18979 | 36.70712 | 0.99972 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 602522.09593 / (1 + e^(-0.20238(t - 37.01197))) | 602522.09593 | 0.20238 | 37.01197 | 0.99990 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 10285.94882 / (1 + e^(-0.19996(t - 36.41452))) | 10285.94882 | 0.19996 | 36.41452 | 0.99980 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 5200.95614 / (1 + e^(-0.20185(t - 37.44446))) | 5200.95614 | 0.20185 | 37.44446 | 0.99985 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 733.18423 / (1 + e^(-0.20964(t - 37.53767))) | 733.18423 | 0.20964 | 37.53767 | 0.99985 |
| Validos | y(t) = 786756.21913 / (1 + e^(-0.19945(t - 36.93683))) | 786756.21913 | 0.19945 | 36.93683 | 0.99988 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 4076.41968 / (1 + e^(-0.18135(t - 35.33525))) | 4076.41968 | 0.18135 | 35.33525 | 0.99996 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 227 | 74 | 146 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 225 | 12 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.3% | 2,489 | 911 | 1,527 | 30 | 20 | 1 | 2,468 | 69 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.5% | 11,549 | 3,619 | 7,692 | 159 | 69 | 10 | 11,470 | 190 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 5.8% | 46,270 | 11,556 | 33,793 | 645 | 240 | 36 | 45,994 | 468 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 16.8% | 133,550 | 31,790 | 99,018 | 1,854 | 783 | 105 | 132,662 | 988 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 37.0% | 293,472 | 67,616 | 219,729 | 4,108 | 1,781 | 238 | 291,453 | 1,806 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 59.7% | 473,697 | 105,991 | 357,855 | 6,413 | 3,017 | 421 | 470,259 | 2,659 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 80.4% | 637,697 | 139,645 | 484,930 | 8,420 | 4,112 | 590 | 632,995 | 3,398 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 91.0% | 721,280 | 156,019 | 550,502 | 9,400 | 4,693 | 666 | 715,921 | 3,761 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 96.3% | 763,616 | 165,341 | 582,674 | 9,922 | 4,975 | 704 | 757,937 | 3,945 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 98.3% | 779,333 | 169,739 | 593,631 | 10,144 | 5,101 | 718 | 773,514 | 4,016 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 99.3% | 787,551 | 171,646 | 599,802 | 10,227 | 5,153 | 723 | 781,675 | 4,049 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 99.6% | 789,664 | 172,215 | 601,312 | 10,247 | 5,165 | 725 | 783,774 | 4,058 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 99.7% | 790,780 | 172,860 | 601,754 | 10,266 | 5,174 | 726 | 784,880 | 4,065 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 99.8% | 791,756 | 173,156 | 602,402 | 10,280 | 5,189 | 729 | 785,838 | 4,070 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 99.9% | 792,264 | 173,551 | 602,505 | 10,286 | 5,190 | 732 | 786,342 | 4,073 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 792,807 | 173,967 | 602,613 | 10,289 | 5,204 | 734 | 786,869 | 4,076 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 793,034 | 174,152 | 602,652 | 10,291 | 5,205 | 734 | 787,095 | 4,077 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex