CUCUTA (NORTE DE SANTANDER)
Municipio code 25001. 1862 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 390410.22854 / (1 + e^(-0.21686(t - 37.63535))) | 390410.22854 | 0.21686 | 37.63535 | 0.99988 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 76061.46349 / (1 + e^(-0.21566(t - 37.31696))) | 76061.46349 | 0.21566 | 37.31696 | 0.99988 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 306501.93217 / (1 + e^(-0.21732(t - 37.72408))) | 306501.93217 | 0.21732 | 37.72408 | 0.99989 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 5138.39355 / (1 + e^(-0.21331(t - 36.90204))) | 5138.39355 | 0.21331 | 36.90204 | 0.99984 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 2461.82653 / (1 + e^(-0.21732(t - 37.74597))) | 2461.82653 | 0.21732 | 37.74597 | 0.99982 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 245.98412 / (1 + e^(-0.22242(t - 39.08257))) | 245.98412 | 0.22242 | 39.08257 | 0.99969 |
| Validos | y(t) = 387702.41448 / (1 + e^(-0.21686(t - 37.63372))) | 387702.41448 | 0.21686 | 37.63372 | 0.99989 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 1860.13890 / (1 + e^(-0.20606(t - 36.64132))) | 1860.13890 | 0.20606 | 36.64132 | 0.99989 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 50 | 17 | 31 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 48 | 1 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 170 | 55 | 109 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 166 | 5 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.5% | 1,832 | 424 | 1,360 | 36 | 12 | 0 | 1,820 | 25 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 3.9% | 15,035 | 3,048 | 11,669 | 243 | 70 | 5 | 14,960 | 125 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 13.1% | 51,202 | 10,771 | 39,328 | 780 | 303 | 20 | 50,879 | 328 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 32.7% | 127,733 | 26,070 | 98,904 | 1,895 | 797 | 67 | 126,869 | 700 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 56.4% | 220,066 | 44,244 | 171,228 | 3,087 | 1,388 | 119 | 218,559 | 1,125 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 80.1% | 312,632 | 61,536 | 244,753 | 4,204 | 1,957 | 182 | 310,493 | 1,533 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 92.2% | 360,077 | 70,274 | 282,557 | 4,767 | 2,254 | 225 | 357,598 | 1,737 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 97.0% | 378,569 | 73,866 | 297,092 | 4,998 | 2,375 | 238 | 375,956 | 1,812 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 98.8% | 385,731 | 75,330 | 302,636 | 5,096 | 2,427 | 242 | 383,062 | 1,841 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 99.7% | 389,224 | 75,865 | 305,542 | 5,124 | 2,448 | 245 | 386,531 | 1,854 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 99.8% | 389,737 | 75,940 | 305,974 | 5,129 | 2,449 | 245 | 387,043 | 1,856 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 99.9% | 389,948 | 75,997 | 306,121 | 5,133 | 2,452 | 245 | 387,251 | 1,858 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 390,453 | 76,069 | 306,536 | 5,139 | 2,463 | 246 | 387,744 | 1,860 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex