CHITAGA (NORTE DE SANTANDER)
Municipio code 25031. 30 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 6069.36920 / (1 + e^(-0.18703(t - 35.96618))) | 6069.36920 | 0.18703 | 35.96618 | 0.99946 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 659.05501 / (1 + e^(-0.23136(t - 36.51397))) | 659.05501 | 0.23136 | 36.51397 | 0.99884 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 5286.13293 / (1 + e^(-0.18336(t - 35.85075))) | 5286.13293 | 0.18336 | 35.85075 | 0.99941 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 78.01079 / (1 + e^(-0.18181(t - 37.49273))) | 78.01079 | 0.18181 | 37.49273 | 0.99942 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 38.06253 / (1 + e^(-0.18787(t - 39.46214))) | 38.06253 | 0.18787 | 39.46214 | 0.99814 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 7.99476 / (1 + e^(-0.31810(t - 33.99398))) | 7.99476 | 0.31810 | 33.99398 | 0.99642 |
| Validos | y(t) = 6023.29863 / (1 + e^(-0.18711(t - 35.94794))) | 6023.29863 | 0.18711 | 35.94794 | 0.99944 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 29.98349 / (1 + e^(-0.16937(t - 34.29181))) | 29.98349 | 0.16937 | 34.29181 | 0.99931 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.2% | 133 | 12 | 119 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 132 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 8.8% | 532 | 46 | 477 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 529 | 5 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 22.5% | 1,370 | 108 | 1,239 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 1,363 | 9 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 40.4% | 2,456 | 209 | 2,205 | 27 | 11 | 4 | 2,441 | 14 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 64.8% | 3,938 | 447 | 3,424 | 43 | 17 | 7 | 3,914 | 21 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 81.1% | 4,927 | 553 | 4,283 | 59 | 25 | 7 | 4,895 | 25 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 91.8% | 5,575 | 623 | 4,839 | 71 | 34 | 8 | 5,533 | 28 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 96.1% | 5,838 | 636 | 5,080 | 76 | 38 | 8 | 5,792 | 29 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 96.1% | 5,838 | 636 | 5,080 | 76 | 38 | 8 | 5,792 | 29 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 96.1% | 5,838 | 636 | 5,080 | 76 | 38 | 8 | 5,792 | 29 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 6,076 | 660 | 5,292 | 78 | 38 | 8 | 6,030 | 30 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex