SAN CALIXTO (NORTE DE SANTANDER)
Municipio code 25076. 33 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 5064.64840 / (1 + e^(-0.26863(t - 28.75121))) | 5064.64840 | 0.26863 | 28.75121 | 0.99933 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4406.82126 / (1 + e^(-0.26203(t - 28.50137))) | 4406.82126 | 0.26203 | 28.50137 | 0.99931 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 565.60677 / (1 + e^(-0.35259(t - 30.22765))) | 565.60677 | 0.35259 | 30.22765 | 0.99930 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 55.99863 / (1 + e^(-0.23536(t - 30.17610))) | 55.99863 | 0.23536 | 30.17610 | 0.99937 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 31.00674 / (1 + e^(-0.59583(t - 30.42874))) | 31.00674 | 0.59583 | 30.42874 | 0.99937 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 5.00040 / (1 + e^(-0.43294(t - 30.27021))) | 5.00040 | 0.43294 | 30.27021 | 0.99862 |
| Validos | y(t) = 5028.63356 / (1 + e^(-0.26775(t - 28.73708))) | 5028.63356 | 0.26775 | 28.73708 | 0.99933 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 32.99524 / (1 + e^(-0.24058(t - 26.69142))) | 32.99524 | 0.24058 | 26.69142 | 0.99878 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 8.4% | 425 | 402 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 424 | 5 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 21.5% | 1,091 | 1,022 | 55 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1,089 | 12 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 50.5% | 2,561 | 2,310 | 217 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 2,550 | 20 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 83.1% | 4,210 | 3,675 | 462 | 41 | 28 | 4 | 4,178 | 29 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 91.6% | 4,641 | 4,040 | 516 | 49 | 31 | 5 | 4,605 | 31 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 95.6% | 4,843 | 4,202 | 552 | 53 | 31 | 5 | 4,807 | 32 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 5,067 | 4,409 | 566 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 5,031 | 33 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex