GRAMALOTE (NORTE DE SANTANDER)
Municipio code 25040. 18 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3953.50843 / (1 + e^(-0.21665(t - 36.16600))) | 3953.50843 | 0.21665 | 36.16600 | 0.99760 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 357.95942 / (1 + e^(-0.21511(t - 34.58624))) | 357.95942 | 0.21511 | 34.58624 | 0.99608 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3552.47748 / (1 + e^(-0.21732(t - 36.30420))) | 3552.47748 | 0.21732 | 36.30420 | 0.99771 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 28.01957 / (1 + e^(-0.24638(t - 36.62662))) | 28.01957 | 0.24638 | 36.62662 | 0.99691 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 6.00068 / (1 + e^(-1.31417(t - 35.22110))) | 6.00068 | 1.31417 | 35.22110 | 0.99516 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 9.01406 / (1 + e^(-0.20024(t - 43.09756))) | 9.01406 | 0.20024 | 43.09756 | 0.99575 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3938.51143 / (1 + e^(-0.21667(t - 36.15409))) | 3938.51143 | 0.21667 | 36.15409 | 0.99760 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 17.99946 / (1 + e^(-0.20636(t - 34.67011))) | 17.99946 | 0.20636 | 34.67011 | 0.99548 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 23.3% | 920 | 111 | 801 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 918 | 6 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 35.7% | 1,413 | 162 | 1,241 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1,411 | 8 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 68.6% | 2,712 | 266 | 2,418 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 2,703 | 13 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 80.2% | 3,169 | 296 | 2,839 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 3,158 | 15 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 93.6% | 3,701 | 344 | 3,317 | 28 | 6 | 6 | 3,689 | 17 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,953 | 358 | 3,552 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3,938 | 18 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex