SILOS (NORTE DE SANTANDER)
Municipio code 25088. 16 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3377.13416 / (1 + e^(-0.18221(t - 31.65547))) | 3377.13416 | 0.18221 | 31.65547 | 0.99535 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 153.98745 / (1 + e^(-0.18389(t - 31.61315))) | 153.98745 | 0.18389 | 31.61315 | 0.99420 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3180.17034 / (1 + e^(-0.18216(t - 31.70933))) | 3180.17034 | 0.18216 | 31.70933 | 0.99539 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 30.96253 / (1 + e^(-0.19949(t - 27.72109))) | 30.96253 | 0.19949 | 27.72109 | 0.99169 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 7.00004 / (1 + e^(-0.22339(t - 26.06920))) | 7.00004 | 0.22339 | 26.06920 | 0.99142 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 4.99875 / (1 + e^(-0.24026(t - 30.82458))) | 4.99875 | 0.24026 | 30.82458 | 0.98187 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3365.13488 / (1 + e^(-0.18215(t - 31.66832))) | 3365.13488 | 0.18215 | 31.66832 | 0.99533 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 15.99696 / (1 + e^(-0.17908(t - 29.39075))) | 15.99696 | 0.17908 | 29.39075 | 0.99367 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.4% | 80 | 2 | 75 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 79 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 27.9% | 942 | 45 | 880 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 939 | 6 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 39.4% | 1,329 | 59 | 1,246 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 1,321 | 8 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 54.2% | 1,832 | 84 | 1,716 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 1,824 | 10 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 83.6% | 2,822 | 131 | 2,652 | 28 | 7 | 4 | 2,811 | 14 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 91.4% | 3,087 | 140 | 2,906 | 29 | 7 | 5 | 3,075 | 15 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 91.4% | 3,087 | 140 | 2,906 | 29 | 7 | 5 | 3,075 | 15 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,377 | 154 | 3,180 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3,365 | 16 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex