LA ESPERANZA (NORTE DE SANTANDER)
Municipio code 25051. 36 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 6353.81804 / (1 + e^(-0.27770(t - 33.09235))) | 6353.81804 | 0.27770 | 33.09235 | 0.99914 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1484.14868 / (1 + e^(-0.30745(t - 32.14506))) | 1484.14868 | 0.30745 | 32.14506 | 0.99925 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 4737.51396 / (1 + e^(-0.27220(t - 33.37424))) | 4737.51396 | 0.27220 | 33.37424 | 0.99903 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 72.03794 / (1 + e^(-0.27649(t - 33.21435))) | 72.03794 | 0.27649 | 33.21435 | 0.99835 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 53.05822 / (1 + e^(-0.29065(t - 35.22658))) | 53.05822 | 0.29065 | 35.22658 | 0.99823 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 6.99637 / (1 + e^(-0.39080(t - 32.32836))) | 6.99637 | 0.39080 | 32.32836 | 0.99500 |
| Validos | y(t) = 6293.75235 / (1 + e^(-0.27776(t - 33.07558))) | 6293.75235 | 0.27776 | 33.07558 | 0.99914 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 36.04303 / (1 + e^(-0.22299(t - 31.49443))) | 36.04303 | 0.22299 | 31.49443 | 0.99799 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.8% | 49 | 15 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 49 | 2 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 3.4% | 215 | 37 | 175 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 4 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 6.7% | 427 | 71 | 351 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 425 | 6 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 23.9% | 1,518 | 414 | 1,076 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 1,507 | 12 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 58.0% | 3,680 | 977 | 2,635 | 42 | 21 | 5 | 3,654 | 23 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 79.9% | 5,076 | 1,261 | 3,715 | 56 | 38 | 6 | 5,032 | 30 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 6,350 | 1,484 | 4,734 | 72 | 53 | 7 | 6,290 | 36 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex