DURANIA (NORTE DE SANTANDER)
Municipio code 25034. 22 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3300.65963 / (1 + e^(-0.24694(t - 28.60834))) | 3300.65963 | 0.24694 | 28.60834 | 0.99798 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 374.04755 / (1 + e^(-0.23299(t - 27.77199))) | 374.04755 | 0.23299 | 27.77199 | 0.99955 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2873.69191 / (1 + e^(-0.24760(t - 28.72864))) | 2873.69191 | 0.24760 | 28.72864 | 0.99766 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 30.97513 / (1 + e^(-0.31668(t - 27.64839))) | 30.97513 | 0.31668 | 27.64839 | 0.99858 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 17.95582 / (1 + e^(-0.47819(t - 27.80879))) | 17.95582 | 0.47819 | 27.80879 | 0.99630 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 3.99735 / (1 + e^(-0.18728(t - 27.07920))) | 3.99735 | 0.18728 | 27.07920 | 0.98031 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3278.70259 / (1 + e^(-0.24649(t - 28.61423))) | 3278.70259 | 0.24649 | 28.61423 | 0.99799 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 22.01351 / (1 + e^(-0.18026(t - 24.61201))) | 22.01351 | 0.18026 | 24.61201 | 0.99746 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 1.7% | 56 | 12 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 4 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 5.1% | 167 | 41 | 124 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 166 | 6 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 23.3% | 770 | 110 | 650 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 767 | 10 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 56.1% | 1,851 | 217 | 1,599 | 20 | 12 | 3 | 1,836 | 15 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 79.0% | 2,609 | 303 | 2,261 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 2,590 | 19 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 85.6% | 2,825 | 337 | 2,440 | 29 | 16 | 3 | 2,806 | 20 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,302 | 374 | 2,875 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,280 | 22 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex