EL TARRA (NORTE DE SANTANDER)
Municipio code 25036. 51 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 8238.66492 / (1 + e^(-0.08810(t - 55.27006))) | 8238.66492 | 0.08810 | 55.27006 | 0.99707 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 6590.08269 / (1 + e^(-0.08909(t - 55.22254))) | 6590.08269 | 0.08909 | 55.22254 | 0.99720 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1445.43435 / (1 + e^(-0.08386(t - 55.40972))) | 1445.43435 | 0.08386 | 55.40972 | 0.99624 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 100.06475 / (1 + e^(-0.09443(t - 53.71783))) | 100.06475 | 0.09443 | 53.71783 | 0.99586 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 83.03410 / (1 + e^(-0.09093(t - 58.43029))) | 83.03410 | 0.09093 | 58.43029 | 0.99536 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 20.09104 / (1 + e^(-0.06581(t - 56.40317))) | 20.09104 | 0.06581 | 56.40317 | 0.98572 |
| Validos | y(t) = 8135.52517 / (1 + e^(-0.08816(t - 55.23401))) | 8135.52517 | 0.08816 | 55.23401 | 0.99707 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 51.03387 / (1 + e^(-0.08938(t - 54.40914))) | 51.03387 | 0.08938 | 54.40914 | 0.99753 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.6% | 49 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 48 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.6% | 49 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 48 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 4.2% | 343 | 262 | 69 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 336 | 3 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 15.2% | 1,254 | 995 | 229 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 1,241 | 8 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 21.8% | 1,791 | 1,434 | 316 | 25 | 10 | 6 | 1,775 | 11 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 30.6% | 2,518 | 1,985 | 478 | 30 | 17 | 8 | 2,493 | 16 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 33.4% | 2,749 | 2,192 | 497 | 31 | 20 | 9 | 2,720 | 18 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 48.1% | 3,961 | 3,152 | 712 | 51 | 37 | 9 | 3,915 | 25 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 63.9% | 5,260 | 4,220 | 908 | 71 | 50 | 11 | 5,199 | 34 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 68.8% | 5,663 | 4,556 | 968 | 73 | 54 | 12 | 5,597 | 36 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 73.3% | 6,038 | 4,855 | 1,039 | 74 | 58 | 12 | 5,968 | 38 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 81.3% | 6,697 | 5,396 | 1,137 | 87 | 64 | 13 | 6,620 | 42 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 84.5% | 6,955 | 5,590 | 1,194 | 89 | 67 | 15 | 6,873 | 44 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 90.6% | 7,463 | 5,985 | 1,297 | 95 | 68 | 18 | 7,377 | 47 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 97.2% | 8,006 | 6,401 | 1,405 | 98 | 82 | 20 | 7,904 | 50 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 8,233 | 6,586 | 1,444 | 100 | 83 | 20 | 8,130 | 51 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex