VILLA CARO (NORTE DE SANTANDER)
Municipio code 25097. 13 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 2729.61430 / (1 + e^(-0.20563(t - 34.93635))) | 2729.61430 | 0.20563 | 34.93635 | 0.99856 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 204.13936 / (1 + e^(-0.21797(t - 33.99254))) | 204.13936 | 0.21797 | 33.99254 | 0.99862 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2488.49086 / (1 + e^(-0.20528(t - 35.03086))) | 2488.49086 | 0.20528 | 35.03086 | 0.99839 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 21.01227 / (1 + e^(-0.19083(t - 34.82479))) | 21.01227 | 0.19083 | 34.82479 | 0.99781 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 13.01446 / (1 + e^(-0.13846(t - 33.45302))) | 13.01446 | 0.13846 | 33.45302 | 0.99614 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 2.99703 / (1 + e^(-0.22149(t - 30.46137))) | 2.99703 | 0.22149 | 30.46137 | 0.96913 |
| Validos | y(t) = 2713.59628 / (1 + e^(-0.20614(t - 34.94609))) | 2713.59628 | 0.20614 | 34.94609 | 0.99856 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 13.00978 / (1 + e^(-0.17889(t - 33.37983))) | 13.00978 | 0.17889 | 33.37983 | 0.99827 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 1.7% | 46 | 5 | 40 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 45 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.7% | 46 | 5 | 40 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 45 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 9.2% | 252 | 31 | 215 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 249 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 22.4% | 610 | 51 | 546 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 603 | 4 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 48.3% | 1,319 | 96 | 1,205 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 1,310 | 7 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 65.2% | 1,778 | 152 | 1,602 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 1,768 | 9 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 91.0% | 2,484 | 194 | 2,257 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 2,470 | 12 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 91.0% | 2,484 | 194 | 2,257 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 2,470 | 12 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 2,729 | 204 | 2,488 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2,713 | 13 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex