SAN CAYETANO (NORTE DE SANTANDER)
Municipio code 25079. 31 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 5164.99821 / (1 + e^(-0.17064(t - 35.32742))) | 5164.99821 | 0.17064 | 35.32742 | 0.99719 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 774.16104 / (1 + e^(-0.16547(t - 35.05138))) | 774.16104 | 0.16547 | 35.05138 | 0.99414 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 4321.80267 / (1 + e^(-0.17174(t - 35.36493))) | 4321.80267 | 0.17174 | 35.36493 | 0.99759 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 41.01702 / (1 + e^(-0.16419(t - 33.68264))) | 41.01702 | 0.16419 | 33.68264 | 0.99369 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 22.98661 / (1 + e^(-0.16073(t - 38.42195))) | 22.98661 | 0.16073 | 38.42195 | 0.99605 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 5.00000 / (1 + e^(-10.19906(t - 41.50060))) | 5.00000 | 10.19906 | 41.50060 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 5136.99051 / (1 + e^(-0.17068(t - 35.30556))) | 5136.99051 | 0.17068 | 35.30556 | 0.99719 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 30.97390 / (1 + e^(-0.16459(t - 31.34895))) | 30.97390 | 0.16459 | 31.34895 | 0.99588 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.1% | 57 | 10 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 8.7% | 449 | 58 | 383 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 449 | 7 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 29.8% | 1,539 | 272 | 1,247 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1,534 | 15 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 48.1% | 2,487 | 379 | 2,077 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 2,478 | 19 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 59.5% | 3,075 | 447 | 2,593 | 24 | 11 | 0 | 3,064 | 22 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 84.7% | 4,378 | 675 | 3,643 | 38 | 17 | 5 | 4,356 | 28 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 89.8% | 4,640 | 694 | 3,884 | 38 | 19 | 5 | 4,616 | 29 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 94.4% | 4,877 | 719 | 4,092 | 40 | 21 | 5 | 4,851 | 30 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 94.4% | 4,877 | 719 | 4,092 | 40 | 21 | 5 | 4,851 | 30 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 5,169 | 775 | 4,325 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 5,141 | 31 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex