MUTISCUA (NORTE DE SANTANDER)
Municipio code 25058. 10 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 2417.89535 / (1 + e^(-0.31341(t - 33.58126))) | 2417.89535 | 0.31341 | 33.58126 | 0.99712 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 155.58912 / (1 + e^(-0.28940(t - 34.26061))) | 155.58912 | 0.28940 | 34.26061 | 0.99434 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2220.41850 / (1 + e^(-0.31545(t - 33.53493))) | 2220.41850 | 0.31545 | 33.53493 | 0.99727 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 24.97165 / (1 + e^(-0.23776(t - 35.05393))) | 24.97165 | 0.23776 | 35.05393 | 0.99783 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 9.95905 / (1 + e^(-0.47299(t - 31.48262))) | 9.95905 | 0.47299 | 31.48262 | 0.99370 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 7.00542 / (1 + e^(-0.49180(t - 33.21704))) | 7.00542 | 0.49180 | 33.21704 | 0.99913 |
| Validos | y(t) = 2400.94689 / (1 + e^(-0.31269(t - 33.59395))) | 2400.94689 | 0.31269 | 33.59395 | 0.99711 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 9.98354 / (1 + e^(-0.25373(t - 33.29820))) | 9.98354 | 0.25373 | 33.29820 | 0.99708 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 2.6% | 63 | 5 | 56 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 62 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 14.5% | 352 | 15 | 330 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 349 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 59.2% | 1,435 | 88 | 1,323 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1,423 | 6 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 80.8% | 1,957 | 121 | 1,802 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 1,941 | 8 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 91.7% | 2,223 | 137 | 2,048 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 2,207 | 9 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 91.7% | 2,223 | 137 | 2,048 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 2,207 | 9 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 2,423 | 156 | 2,225 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2,406 | 10 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex