RAGONVALIA (NORTE DE SANTANDER)
Municipio code 25070. 30 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3232.78537 / (1 + e^(-0.32849(t - 24.76733))) | 3232.78537 | 0.32849 | 24.76733 | 0.99946 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 216.97519 / (1 + e^(-0.29512(t - 24.05228))) | 216.97519 | 0.29512 | 24.05228 | 0.99901 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2970.77036 / (1 + e^(-0.33123(t - 24.81644))) | 2970.77036 | 0.33123 | 24.81644 | 0.99944 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 26.00556 / (1 + e^(-0.41932(t - 25.04471))) | 26.00556 | 0.41932 | 25.04471 | 0.99715 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 15.99934 / (1 + e^(-0.39427(t - 24.39558))) | 15.99934 | 0.39427 | 24.39558 | 0.99832 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 3.00493 / (1 + e^(-0.24346(t - 25.32269))) | 3.00493 | 0.24346 | 25.32269 | 0.98621 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3213.78004 / (1 + e^(-0.32833(t - 24.76833))) | 3213.78004 | 0.32833 | 24.76833 | 0.99945 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 29.98759 / (1 + e^(-0.26191(t - 22.82067))) | 29.98759 | 0.26191 | 22.82067 | 0.99535 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 14.7% | 476 | 42 | 428 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 474 | 10 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 42.8% | 1,385 | 111 | 1,256 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 1,376 | 17 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 81.4% | 2,631 | 173 | 2,420 | 23 | 13 | 2 | 2,616 | 25 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 92.9% | 3,005 | 202 | 2,759 | 25 | 16 | 3 | 2,986 | 27 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,233 | 217 | 2,971 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3,214 | 30 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex