CACHIRA (NORTE DE SANTANDER)
Municipio code 25019. 28 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 5154.60017 / (1 + e^(-0.14259(t - 45.84918))) | 5154.60017 | 0.14259 | 45.84918 | 0.99747 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 456.62092 / (1 + e^(-0.15570(t - 45.80587))) | 456.62092 | 0.15570 | 45.80587 | 0.99741 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 4644.85151 / (1 + e^(-0.14134(t - 45.83992))) | 4644.85151 | 0.14134 | 45.83992 | 0.99743 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 34.07525 / (1 + e^(-0.12481(t - 43.70829))) | 34.07525 | 0.12481 | 43.70829 | 0.99611 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 15.01352 / (1 + e^(-0.33480(t - 52.61690))) | 15.01352 | 0.33480 | 52.61690 | 0.99840 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 3.99951 / (1 + e^(-0.37881(t - 44.84104))) | 3.99951 | 0.37881 | 44.84104 | 0.99675 |
| Validos | y(t) = 5135.54903 / (1 + e^(-0.14241(t - 45.82631))) | 5135.54903 | 0.14241 | 45.82631 | 0.99747 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 28.05011 / (1 + e^(-0.11858(t - 41.10672))) | 28.05011 | 0.11858 | 41.10672 | 0.99659 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.3% | 69 | 3 | 64 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 69 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 4.0% | 205 | 9 | 194 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 11.9% | 614 | 41 | 566 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 614 | 7 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 15.6% | 801 | 54 | 739 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 801 | 9 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 27.0% | 1,387 | 112 | 1,263 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1,386 | 12 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 48.2% | 2,479 | 232 | 2,224 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 2,475 | 17 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 53.5% | 2,751 | 250 | 2,475 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 2,745 | 18 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 76.8% | 3,950 | 354 | 3,557 | 26 | 9 | 4 | 3,937 | 23 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 85.7% | 4,411 | 403 | 3,960 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 4,393 | 25 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 5,145 | 456 | 4,636 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5,126 | 28 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex