ARBOLEDAS (NORTE DE SANTANDER)
Municipio code 25007. 26 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 5339.75472 / (1 + e^(-0.27997(t - 30.13338))) | 5339.75472 | 0.27997 | 30.13338 | 0.99888 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 530.80867 / (1 + e^(-0.26926(t - 29.43977))) | 530.80867 | 0.26926 | 29.43977 | 0.99909 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 4732.03599 / (1 + e^(-0.28180(t - 30.22980))) | 4732.03599 | 0.28180 | 30.22980 | 0.99884 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 50.88357 / (1 + e^(-0.27625(t - 28.13679))) | 50.88357 | 0.27625 | 28.13679 | 0.99525 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 21.99395 / (1 + e^(-0.24991(t - 30.30837))) | 21.99395 | 0.24991 | 30.30837 | 0.99724 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 4.00000 / (1 + e^(-140.08254(t - 29.00000))) | 4.00000 | 140.08254 | 29.00000 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 5313.76607 / (1 + e^(-0.27999(t - 30.13383))) | 5313.76607 | 0.27999 | 30.13383 | 0.99888 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 25.99735 / (1 + e^(-0.23274(t - 28.67364))) | 25.99735 | 0.23274 | 28.67364 | 0.99850 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.8% | 44 | 17 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 2 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.8% | 44 | 17 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 17.2% | 920 | 111 | 792 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 915 | 7 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 42.0% | 2,242 | 245 | 1,954 | 32 | 9 | 2 | 2,231 | 13 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 73.4% | 3,925 | 405 | 3,462 | 39 | 15 | 4 | 3,906 | 20 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 95.3% | 5,091 | 512 | 4,506 | 48 | 21 | 4 | 5,066 | 25 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 95.3% | 5,091 | 512 | 4,506 | 48 | 21 | 4 | 5,066 | 25 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 95.3% | 5,091 | 512 | 4,506 | 48 | 21 | 4 | 5,066 | 25 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 5,344 | 531 | 4,736 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5,318 | 26 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex