LA PLAYA (NORTE DE SANTANDER)
Municipio code 25052. 22 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3767.29263 / (1 + e^(-0.31124(t - 31.40619))) | 3767.29263 | 0.31124 | 31.40619 | 0.99717 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 951.66982 / (1 + e^(-0.44519(t - 29.83700))) | 951.66982 | 0.44519 | 29.83700 | 0.99887 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2759.57109 / (1 + e^(-0.28180(t - 32.06851))) | 2759.57109 | 0.28180 | 32.06851 | 0.99683 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 38.95642 / (1 + e^(-0.48830(t - 30.49424))) | 38.95642 | 0.48830 | 30.49424 | 0.99864 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 12.95679 / (1 + e^(-0.41781(t - 29.75189))) | 12.95679 | 0.41781 | 29.75189 | 0.99351 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 5.00718 / (1 + e^(-0.26088(t - 35.85367))) | 5.00718 | 0.26088 | 35.85367 | 0.99509 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3749.31709 / (1 + e^(-0.31142(t - 31.40624))) | 3749.31709 | 0.31142 | 31.40624 | 0.99718 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 21.97576 / (1 + e^(-0.33058(t - 31.03434))) | 21.97576 | 0.33058 | 31.03434 | 0.99822 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 7.2% | 271 | 48 | 220 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 271 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 30.4% | 1,146 | 394 | 733 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 1,139 | 7 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 75.2% | 2,838 | 830 | 1,961 | 34 | 11 | 2 | 2,825 | 17 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 82.5% | 3,112 | 875 | 2,187 | 36 | 11 | 3 | 3,098 | 19 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 94.6% | 3,569 | 925 | 2,589 | 38 | 12 | 5 | 3,552 | 21 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,772 | 953 | 2,762 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3,754 | 22 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex