BUCARASICA (NORTE DE SANTANDER)
Municipio code 25013. 15 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 2993.82562 / (1 + e^(-0.45028(t - 24.36320))) | 2993.82562 | 0.45028 | 24.36320 | 0.99864 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 194.99133 / (1 + e^(-0.46231(t - 22.99364))) | 194.99133 | 0.46231 | 22.99364 | 0.99988 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2750.71531 / (1 + e^(-0.45811(t - 24.46302))) | 2750.71531 | 0.45811 | 24.46302 | 0.99839 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 24.02308 / (1 + e^(-0.30041(t - 24.02324))) | 24.02308 | 0.30041 | 24.02324 | 0.99817 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 20.00363 / (1 + e^(-0.62631(t - 24.61555))) | 20.00363 | 0.62631 | 24.61555 | 0.99985 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 3.99954 / (1 + e^(-0.37879(t - 24.84109))) | 3.99954 | 0.37879 | 24.84109 | 0.99413 |
| Validos | y(t) = 2969.82401 / (1 + e^(-0.44943(t - 24.36007))) | 2969.82401 | 0.44943 | 24.36007 | 0.99862 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 15.01463 / (1 + e^(-0.36139(t - 23.72671))) | 15.01463 | 0.36139 | 23.72671 | 0.99675 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 2.8% | 85 | 5 | 78 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 85 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 13.0% | 388 | 25 | 357 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 387 | 3 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 42.9% | 1,284 | 121 | 1,142 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1,274 | 7 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 92.7% | 2,774 | 181 | 2,551 | 20 | 19 | 3 | 2,752 | 14 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 2,992 | 195 | 2,749 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2,968 | 15 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex