HACARI (NORTE DE SANTANDER)
Municipio code 25043. 27 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4435.37243 / (1 + e^(-0.24999(t - 28.16633))) | 4435.37243 | 0.24999 | 28.16633 | 0.99755 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 3044.55556 / (1 + e^(-0.24639(t - 27.93412))) | 3044.55556 | 0.24639 | 27.93412 | 0.99711 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1285.83557 / (1 + e^(-0.26185(t - 28.68523))) | 1285.83557 | 0.26185 | 28.68523 | 0.99821 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 54.03626 / (1 + e^(-0.29505(t - 27.87438))) | 54.03626 | 0.29505 | 27.87438 | 0.99824 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 45.01614 / (1 + e^(-0.16141(t - 28.88024))) | 45.01614 | 0.16141 | 28.88024 | 0.99513 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 5.98159 / (1 + e^(-0.25161(t - 29.86849))) | 5.98159 | 0.25161 | 29.86849 | 0.97528 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4384.44677 / (1 + e^(-0.25111(t - 28.15975))) | 4384.44677 | 0.25111 | 28.15975 | 0.99755 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 27.02105 / (1 + e^(-0.20688(t - 26.76446))) | 27.02105 | 0.20688 | 26.76446 | 0.99556 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 3.5% | 155 | 103 | 45 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 150 | 2 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 17.1% | 760 | 568 | 175 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 750 | 7 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 21.7% | 960 | 689 | 249 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 949 | 8 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 54.2% | 2,405 | 1,691 | 655 | 32 | 23 | 4 | 2,378 | 16 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 83.2% | 3,689 | 2,543 | 1,063 | 46 | 33 | 4 | 3,652 | 23 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 96.2% | 4,265 | 2,951 | 1,217 | 54 | 38 | 5 | 4,222 | 26 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 96.2% | 4,265 | 2,951 | 1,217 | 54 | 38 | 5 | 4,222 | 26 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,434 | 3,043 | 1,286 | 54 | 45 | 6 | 4,383 | 27 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex