SUCRE — Department
26 municipios, ordered by: alphabetical (asc). Aggregate curve for the department.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 474545.27714 / (1 + e^(-0.16210(t - 37.20682))) | 474545.27714 | 0.16210 | 37.20682 | 0.99946 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 279185.78557 / (1 + e^(-0.16424(t - 37.19072))) | 279185.78557 | 0.16424 | 37.19072 | 0.99950 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 188279.69999 / (1 + e^(-0.15907(t - 37.21249))) | 188279.69999 | 0.15907 | 37.21249 | 0.99939 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 4189.14215 / (1 + e^(-0.16017(t - 37.37287))) | 4189.14215 | 0.16017 | 37.37287 | 0.99953 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 2233.98549 / (1 + e^(-0.16068(t - 38.37028))) | 2233.98549 | 0.16068 | 38.37028 | 0.99932 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 657.48080 / (1 + e^(-0.16413(t - 37.61859))) | 657.48080 | 0.16413 | 37.61859 | 0.99894 |
| Validos | y(t) = 471653.84950 / (1 + e^(-0.16211(t - 37.20075))) | 471653.84950 | 0.16211 | 37.20075 | 0.99946 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 2346.71359 / (1 + e^(-0.15244(t - 35.30477))) | 2346.71359 | 0.15244 | 35.30477 | 0.99978 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.1% | 269 | 153 | 113 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 268 | 12 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.6% | 2,739 | 1,609 | 1,087 | 26 | 14 | 3 | 2,722 | 62 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.1% | 10,183 | 5,811 | 4,237 | 95 | 32 | 8 | 10,143 | 146 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 8.3% | 39,338 | 22,783 | 16,024 | 360 | 131 | 40 | 39,167 | 340 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 21.4% | 101,770 | 58,451 | 41,907 | 894 | 395 | 123 | 101,252 | 675 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 39.1% | 185,499 | 109,068 | 73,752 | 1,627 | 795 | 257 | 184,447 | 1,075 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 58.7% | 278,668 | 164,295 | 110,369 | 2,407 | 1,217 | 380 | 277,071 | 1,510 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 73.5% | 348,906 | 206,125 | 137,696 | 3,049 | 1,565 | 471 | 346,870 | 1,820 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 86.2% | 409,204 | 241,369 | 161,831 | 3,582 | 1,858 | 564 | 406,782 | 2,081 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 92.5% | 438,950 | 259,220 | 173,199 | 3,890 | 2,037 | 604 | 436,309 | 2,206 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 96.2% | 456,836 | 269,482 | 180,542 | 4,050 | 2,134 | 628 | 454,074 | 2,278 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 98.5% | 467,804 | 275,523 | 185,296 | 4,143 | 2,195 | 647 | 464,962 | 2,321 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 99.5% | 472,384 | 278,058 | 187,278 | 4,172 | 2,223 | 653 | 469,508 | 2,339 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 99.8% | 473,851 | 278,861 | 187,923 | 4,180 | 2,231 | 656 | 470,964 | 2,344 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 474,775 | 279,312 | 188,380 | 4,190 | 2,235 | 658 | 471,882 | 2,347 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex