SAMPUES (SUCRE)
Municipio code 28160. 117 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 24310.33559 / (1 + e^(-0.22325(t - 33.08241))) | 24310.33559 | 0.22325 | 33.08241 | 0.99903 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 15891.49625 / (1 + e^(-0.22375(t - 33.18520))) | 15891.49625 | 0.22375 | 33.18520 | 0.99885 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 8026.36681 / (1 + e^(-0.22188(t - 32.92621))) | 8026.36681 | 0.22188 | 32.92621 | 0.99913 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 202.75412 / (1 + e^(-0.23015(t - 31.87714))) | 202.75412 | 0.23015 | 31.87714 | 0.99858 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 144.74252 / (1 + e^(-0.23589(t - 32.68429))) | 144.74252 | 0.23589 | 32.68429 | 0.99734 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 44.94963 / (1 + e^(-0.26838(t - 30.91990))) | 44.94963 | 0.26838 | 30.91990 | 0.99791 |
| Validos | y(t) = 24120.63829 / (1 + e^(-0.22315(t - 33.08901))) | 24120.63829 | 0.22315 | 33.08901 | 0.99903 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 116.96685 / (1 + e^(-0.18958(t - 31.70835))) | 116.96685 | 0.18958 | 31.70835 | 0.99912 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.2% | 41 | 18 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 2 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.8% | 190 | 121 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 189 | 7 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.6% | 634 | 415 | 212 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 632 | 12 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 9.6% | 2,338 | 1,495 | 805 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 2,323 | 21 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 28.4% | 6,913 | 4,304 | 2,479 | 70 | 45 | 15 | 6,853 | 41 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 59.0% | 14,347 | 9,412 | 4,674 | 135 | 92 | 34 | 14,221 | 74 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 74.9% | 18,229 | 11,890 | 6,030 | 161 | 110 | 38 | 18,081 | 91 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 92.4% | 22,485 | 14,584 | 7,541 | 185 | 132 | 43 | 22,310 | 109 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 97.1% | 23,626 | 15,363 | 7,879 | 200 | 140 | 44 | 23,442 | 114 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 97.1% | 23,626 | 15,363 | 7,879 | 200 | 140 | 44 | 23,442 | 114 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 98.1% | 23,869 | 15,585 | 7,896 | 200 | 143 | 45 | 23,681 | 115 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 98.1% | 23,869 | 15,585 | 7,896 | 200 | 143 | 45 | 23,681 | 115 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 24,337 | 15,913 | 8,031 | 203 | 145 | 45 | 24,147 | 117 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex