SUCRE (SUCRE)
Municipio code 28280. 78 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 11434.58513 / (1 + e^(-0.17142(t - 33.52307))) | 11434.58513 | 0.17142 | 33.52307 | 0.99709 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4407.77541 / (1 + e^(-0.18670(t - 34.43605))) | 4407.77541 | 0.18670 | 34.43605 | 0.99841 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 6896.22624 / (1 + e^(-0.16487(t - 32.93959))) | 6896.22624 | 0.16487 | 32.93959 | 0.99535 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 84.84592 / (1 + e^(-0.21497(t - 31.11421))) | 84.84592 | 0.21497 | 31.11421 | 0.99793 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 24.96344 / (1 + e^(-0.20430(t - 34.28044))) | 24.96344 | 0.20430 | 34.28044 | 0.99903 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 19.94955 / (1 + e^(-0.13396(t - 34.95300))) | 19.94955 | 0.13396 | 34.95300 | 0.99167 |
| Validos | y(t) = 11389.69638 / (1 + e^(-0.17143(t - 33.51954))) | 11389.69638 | 0.17143 | 33.51954 | 0.99709 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 77.85404 / (1 + e^(-0.16638(t - 30.82532))) | 77.85404 | 0.16638 | 30.82532 | 0.99823 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.2% | 26 | 10 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 1 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.5% | 56 | 12 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 2 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 5.5% | 626 | 253 | 367 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 624 | 10 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 11.7% | 1,345 | 433 | 896 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1,341 | 17 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 34.9% | 3,996 | 1,191 | 2,752 | 38 | 7 | 8 | 3,981 | 36 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 52.8% | 6,058 | 2,099 | 3,884 | 53 | 12 | 10 | 6,036 | 48 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 74.2% | 8,503 | 3,228 | 5,172 | 72 | 18 | 13 | 8,472 | 63 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 85.0% | 9,743 | 3,799 | 5,827 | 79 | 22 | 16 | 9,705 | 70 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 88.8% | 10,179 | 3,950 | 6,108 | 81 | 24 | 16 | 10,139 | 72 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 90.6% | 10,390 | 4,045 | 6,223 | 81 | 24 | 17 | 10,349 | 73 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 94.6% | 10,848 | 4,280 | 6,443 | 83 | 24 | 18 | 10,806 | 75 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 96.6% | 11,075 | 4,336 | 6,612 | 84 | 24 | 19 | 11,032 | 76 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 11,465 | 4,416 | 6,919 | 85 | 25 | 20 | 11,420 | 78 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex