TOLUVIEJO (SUCRE)
Municipio code 28320. 68 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 13834.46610 / (1 + e^(-0.22188(t - 37.28492))) | 13834.46610 | 0.22188 | 37.28492 | 0.99924 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 8463.86333 / (1 + e^(-0.21968(t - 37.01867))) | 8463.86333 | 0.21968 | 37.01867 | 0.99922 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 5202.51194 / (1 + e^(-0.22545(t - 37.69815))) | 5202.51194 | 0.22545 | 37.69815 | 0.99922 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 104.06402 / (1 + e^(-0.21452(t - 37.25791))) | 104.06402 | 0.21452 | 37.25791 | 0.99885 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 44.02163 / (1 + e^(-0.24784(t - 38.90438))) | 44.02163 | 0.24784 | 38.90438 | 0.99873 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 19.99360 / (1 + e^(-0.38906(t - 36.95004))) | 19.99360 | 0.38906 | 36.95004 | 0.99936 |
| Validos | y(t) = 13770.45264 / (1 + e^(-0.22167(t - 37.27964))) | 13770.45264 | 0.22167 | 37.27964 | 0.99923 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 68.06570 / (1 + e^(-0.19795(t - 35.96205))) | 68.06570 | 0.19795 | 35.96205 | 0.99899 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.1% | 16 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.2% | 30 | 19 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 6.0% | 832 | 555 | 269 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 831 | 8 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 13.6% | 1,880 | 1,257 | 608 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1,878 | 13 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 34.2% | 4,722 | 3,004 | 1,663 | 39 | 11 | 5 | 4,706 | 28 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 58.1% | 8,033 | 4,990 | 2,948 | 58 | 23 | 14 | 7,996 | 43 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 79.1% | 10,936 | 6,781 | 4,022 | 83 | 32 | 18 | 10,886 | 55 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 98.3% | 13,590 | 8,334 | 5,092 | 101 | 43 | 20 | 13,527 | 67 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 98.3% | 13,590 | 8,334 | 5,092 | 101 | 43 | 20 | 13,527 | 67 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 13,824 | 8,457 | 5,199 | 104 | 44 | 20 | 13,760 | 68 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex