GUARANDA (SUCRE)
Municipio code 28049. 51 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 7872.83606 / (1 + e^(-0.23441(t - 27.65563))) | 7872.83606 | 0.23441 | 27.65563 | 0.99848 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2520.45216 / (1 + e^(-0.23309(t - 27.69467))) | 2520.45216 | 0.23309 | 27.69467 | 0.99818 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 5247.33596 / (1 + e^(-0.23498(t - 27.64405))) | 5247.33596 | 0.23498 | 27.64405 | 0.99859 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 70.05954 / (1 + e^(-0.22568(t - 26.40570))) | 70.05954 | 0.22568 | 26.40570 | 0.99828 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 22.99882 / (1 + e^(-0.24876(t - 27.69553))) | 22.99882 | 0.24876 | 27.69553 | 0.99711 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 11.97897 / (1 + e^(-0.35162(t - 30.60155))) | 11.97897 | 0.35162 | 30.60155 | 0.99632 |
| Validos | y(t) = 7837.84934 / (1 + e^(-0.23427(t - 27.64972))) | 7837.84934 | 0.23427 | 27.64972 | 0.99848 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 51.01932 / (1 + e^(-0.20885(t - 25.82414))) | 51.01932 | 0.20885 | 25.82414 | 0.99873 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 5.5% | 431 | 170 | 255 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 430 | 5 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 14.7% | 1,157 | 370 | 769 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1,153 | 11 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 25.1% | 1,977 | 620 | 1,329 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 1,972 | 19 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 61.6% | 4,851 | 1,549 | 3,237 | 46 | 14 | 5 | 4,832 | 35 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 79.0% | 6,219 | 1,983 | 4,150 | 58 | 19 | 9 | 6,191 | 42 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 95.0% | 7,480 | 2,401 | 4,977 | 69 | 22 | 11 | 7,447 | 49 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 97.0% | 7,633 | 2,444 | 5,086 | 70 | 22 | 11 | 7,600 | 50 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 7,872 | 2,520 | 5,247 | 70 | 23 | 12 | 7,837 | 51 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex