EL ROBLE (SUCRE)
Municipio code 28042. 36 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 6513.90312 / (1 + e^(-0.18576(t - 32.21688))) | 6513.90312 | 0.18576 | 32.21688 | 0.99648 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4397.51220 / (1 + e^(-0.18470(t - 32.30368))) | 4397.51220 | 0.18470 | 32.30368 | 0.99647 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2059.49316 / (1 + e^(-0.18723(t - 32.03823))) | 2059.49316 | 0.18723 | 32.03823 | 0.99641 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 31.95738 / (1 + e^(-0.21532(t - 31.45545))) | 31.95738 | 0.21532 | 31.45545 | 0.99615 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 12.99364 / (1 + e^(-0.14740(t - 33.73385))) | 12.99364 | 0.14740 | 33.73385 | 0.98930 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 11.98717 / (1 + e^(-0.66646(t - 32.41483))) | 11.98717 | 0.66646 | 32.41483 | 0.99903 |
| Validos | y(t) = 6488.95173 / (1 + e^(-0.18561(t - 32.21437))) | 6488.95173 | 0.18561 | 32.21437 | 0.99648 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 35.98382 / (1 + e^(-0.16734(t - 29.57360))) | 35.98382 | 0.16734 | 29.57360 | 0.99754 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 1.8% | 118 | 77 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 3 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 4.7% | 308 | 186 | 119 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 308 | 5 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 14.1% | 916 | 625 | 285 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 913 | 9 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 37.0% | 2,415 | 1,618 | 780 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2,410 | 18 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 65.4% | 4,266 | 2,858 | 1,369 | 22 | 8 | 9 | 4,249 | 26 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 71.9% | 4,688 | 3,160 | 1,482 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 4,668 | 28 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 89.4% | 5,827 | 3,916 | 1,860 | 29 | 10 | 12 | 5,805 | 33 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 89.4% | 5,827 | 3,916 | 1,860 | 29 | 10 | 12 | 5,805 | 33 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 6,519 | 4,401 | 2,061 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 6,494 | 36 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex